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Today, MLBdream provides his picks.
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Best MLB Bets and Picks Today
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
Dodgers -165 @ Brewers +140 — Total 8 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
We’ve lost three straight plays I’ve written up, but Wednesday is the day we bounce back. First pitch is in less than an hour from this writing, so this will be short.
The Brewers are the worst team in baseball against left-handed pitching no matter what metric you’re looking at. Milwaukee also leads the majors in K% versus southpaws at close to 31%, while Clayton Kershaw’s K% is 28.4% — which ranks 12th in MLB. The Dodgers lineup has had better success against right-handers this season, but they should put some runs up against Miley. Wade Miley has posted his lowest career groundball percentage and swinging-strike percentage, along with the highest barrel rate of his career. We can expect some negative regression there as his xERA sits close to four and his SIERA is just under five.
Bet
Same Game Parlay: Dodgers ML/Clayton Kershaw Over 5.5 K’s (-120, DraftKings Sportsbook)