Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Yet again for my entry in the MLB best bets space, we have more than the maximum number of games on the day’s MLB slate, with Monday’s Dodgers/Mets rainout giving us a doubleheader Tuesday and 16 games on the day, with start times between 4:10 p.m. ET and 9:45 p.m. ET.
That gives us a wealth of bet opportunities from Tuesday. Below are my favorite picks of the day. The odds change pretty quickly in the MLB, so take advantage of our Prop Shop for the best possible odds and check out our Pick Tracker for the key picks from around FTN.
MLB Best Bets for Tuesday
Philadelphia Phillies Team Total Over 5.5
+145, DraftKings Sportsbook
As of the time I’m writing this, we don’t know who the Giants will be starting Tuesday night. The current best guess is Spencer Howard, who has a 7.20 career big-league ERA and hasn’t even had a minor-league ERA under 4.71 since 2021. He’s 1-2 with a 5.90 ERA and a 1.538 WHIP in 10 AAA starts this year. And that’s currently the best-case scenario for San Francisco’s starter. On top of that, the Giants had to burn the bullpen a fair amount Monday, with Blake Snell going only 4 innings and the team burning Camilo Doval (19 pitches, third appearance in four days) and Ryan Walker (17 pitches, second straight day and third in four days). Tuesday is the Giants’ eighth straight day playing, and they have another game Wednesday before an off day Thursday. Howard (or whoever starts) might have to eat one Tuesday, and that’s before you consider that pitcher will be facing a Phillies team that has a 114 wRC+ on the season, fourth best in baseball. Play your Phillies.
Corey Seager Over 1.5 Total Bases
-109, BetRivers
After just an absolutely brutal start to the season, Corey Seager has started to come out of it lately, working on a 10-game hitting streak that has included 7 home runs and taken his season slash line from .235/.314/333 to .258/.349/.447. That’s still below Seager’s norm, but he’s certainly resembled his 2023 self over the last couple weeks. The struggles this year have very clearly come against lefties, with Seager putting up a .909 OPS in 149 plate appearances against right-handers and a .570 in 79 PAs against southpaws. Tuesday, he gets the Diamondbacks and Brandon Pfaadt, who has struggled a bit in his bid to capitalize on his impressive October last year. Pfaadt sits on a 4.05 ERA through 60 innings, with multiple runs allowed in eight of his last nine starts. Like Seager, his struggles have come against the opposite hand, with Pfaadt allowing a .535 OPS to righties but a .767 to lefties. Expect Seager to continue his hot stretch Tuesday.
