Best MLB Bets Today – Free (Thursday 4/20)

Welcome to the FTN’s free MLB Picks of the Day, featuring our favorite or best MLB bets. FTN will be posting a play or two from the MLB card — for free!

Today, MLBdream provides his picks. 

You can check out the full card at the Bet Tracker. If you’re not subscribed, join now and get 20% off using promo code DREAM.

Best MLB Bets and Picks Today

New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants 

Mets -120 @ Giants +100 – Total 8.5 (BetMGM)

We bounced back Wednesday with a sweat-free first-inning cash with the Rays team total over. We’re heading to the K market Thursday, and I’m going to make this quick since this prop is on the move. 

Kodai Senga has struck out 30% of batters through his first three MLB starts, ranking in the 82nd percentile. The righty has faced weak competition with the A’s once and Marlins twice, but it gets a bit easier Thursday in terms of strikeouts. The Giants lead the majors with 27% K% versus right-handed pitching and rank dead last in making contact on pitches outside the strike zone at 55.0%. Senga’s ghost forkball carries a 61.5% whiff% and a 72.7 K%, which means the Giants batters should have a tough time making contact on such an elite putaway pitch. 

I’m projecting Kodai Senga to pitch about six innings Thursday and rack up the six or seven punchouts we need to cash. As always, be sure to use the FTN Prop Shop to make sure you’re betting the best number available.

Bet

Kodai Senga Over 5.5 K’s -160 (BetMGM)