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Best MLB Bets Today – Free (Friday 8/4)

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Welcome to back to another Friday edition of MLB best bets. This time, we’ll look to keep the hot streak rolling as we focus in on Game 2 of a weekend series between the Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels, taking place at Angel Stadium in Anaheim. 

 

Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels

The “Shohei Sho” kept rolling Thursday as Shohei Ohtani pitched four scoreless innings before being pulled for cramping and hit his league-leading 40th home run in a loss to the Mariners. Friday, Ohtani will face veteran right-hander Luis Castillo as he looks to put on an encore performance. 

Ohtani has absolutely feasted off of right-handed pitchers this season, entering Friday with a .334 average and 31 homers against them. Castillo on the other hand has had his struggles against left-handed hitters as of late. Coming into Friday’s game, Castillo has allowed LHB to a .200 ISO and a 50.3% hard hit rate over the last 30 days. Ohtani has had great success against Castillo’s top three pitches to left-handed hitters as well:

Luis Castillo Top 3 Pitches to LHB Shohei Ohtani ISO vs, Pitch
4-Seam Fastball .416 ISO
Changeup .355 ISO
Slider .381 ISO

MLB league average ISO is .140.

Best Bet

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105, DraftKings Sportsbook) — 1-Unit Wager
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+125, DraftKings Sportsbook) — 0.5-Unit Wager
Shohei Ohtani 4+ Total Bases (+220, FanDuel Sportsbook) — 0.25-Unit Wager 

In eight career plate appearances against Castillo, Ohtani has a .375 AVG with a single, double and home run. Ohtani has been lights over the last seven games, with a .524 AVG, 2 HR, 5 runs and 2 RBIs. Ohtani has covered his HR/RBI combo in nine of his last 10 games at home. Across that stretch, Ohtani has covered two total bases in seven of 10 and four bases in five of 10. Friday, we’ll back that the “Sho” goes on in Angel Stadium. 

 
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