NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
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Today’s Best MLB Props
Luis Castillo Under 6.5 K’s
(+110, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Luis Castillo has plenty of strikeout upside, as he has a 28% K% on the year. However, the projected lineup for the Astros has five of nine projected starters with a strikeout rate below 20% against RHPs, and four of those five are sub-17%.
Corbin Burnes Over 6.5 K’s
(-115, BetMGM)
Corbin Burnes has struggled this year, especially from a strikeout perspective as his K% is under 20% this year, however his CSW% is over 29% so that tells me some positive regression is coming, and this matchup against the Giants has a projected lineup with seven of nine hitters striking out at least 22% of the time, and six of those seven sit at 26% or higher.
Bobby Witt Jr. to Hit a HR
(+460, FanDuel Sportsbook)
I love this number for Bobby Witt Jr. here. He hits LHPs extremely well, but also matches up exceptionally well against the pitches Kyle Muller throws most. Muller is also allowing a ton of hard contact, at 45%, and with Bobby Witts ability to hit the ball hard and elevate it, he sets up as a prime HR candidate.
