Best MLB Bets Today – Free (Friday 5/5)

Welcome to the FTN’s free MLB Picks of the Day, featuring our favorite or best MLB bets. FTN will be posting a play or two from the MLB card — for free! 

You can check out the full card at the Bet Tracker. If you’re not subscribed, join now and get 20% off using promo code KMurr. 

FREE PrizePicks Pick Tracker 
FREE Prop Shop 

Today’s Best MLB Props

Luis Castillo Under 6.5 K’s

(+110, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Luis Castillo has plenty of strikeout upside, as he has a 28% K% on the year. However, the projected lineup for the Astros has five of nine projected starters with a strikeout rate below 20% against RHPs, and four of those five are sub-17%. 

Corbin Burnes Over 6.5 K’s

(-115, BetMGM)

Corbin Burnes has struggled this year, especially from a strikeout perspective as his K% is under 20% this year, however his CSW% is over 29% so that tells me some positive regression is coming, and this matchup against the Giants has a projected lineup with seven of nine hitters striking out at least 22% of the time, and six of those seven sit at 26% or higher. 

Bobby Witt Jr. to Hit a HR

(+460, FanDuel Sportsbook)

I love this number for Bobby Witt Jr. here. He hits LHPs extremely well, but also matches up exceptionally well against the pitches Kyle Muller throws most. Muller is also allowing a ton of hard contact, at 45%, and with Bobby Witts ability to hit the ball hard and elevate it, he sets up as a prime HR candidate.