Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
PrizePicks is a fantastic site that can help scratch that player prop itch with a wide variety of sport offerings. You can choose between NFL, MLB, NHL, CBB, NBA, PGA, CS:GO, tennis, soccer and more. With fewer than 100 days from the NFL season opener, PrizePicks has released their veteran props. For any other questions you have about these lines or the site, head to our freeDiscord channel. Also, make sure to check out Tyler Loechner’s comprehensive App Review of PrizePicks.
How to play PrizePicks
The format is simple. You pick two, three or four players and predict whether they will go over or under their projected fantasy point total.
When parlaying the players, the larger your parlay, the better the payout:
- Two-pick entry pays 2.5x (max entry: $400)
- Three-pick entry pays 5x (max entry: $200)
- Four-pick entry pays 10x (max entry: $100)
As a bonus offer, there is a “flex play” option if you choose to run a four-man parlay. This will provide some security, as you can earn 1.5x your buy-in if three of your four picks hit.
Below are some of my top NFL futures PrizePicks for 2021.
Scoring breakdown for PrizePicks contests can be found here.
NFL futures PrizePicks for today
Here's a look at my favorite picks on PrizePicks for NFL futures.
Ezekiel Elliott RB, Dallas Cowboys
1,150.0 Rushing Yards — OVER
Before 2020, Elliott had never finished an NFL season averaging under 84.8 rushing yards per game (65.3, 2020). Over a full 17-game season, even at last year’s per-game clip, Elliott would be on pace for 1,110 rushing yards. With Dak Prescott back and the offensive line healthier, Elliott will thrive in an offense that will finish top three in plays run this year.
Lamar Jackson QB, Baltimore Ravens
3,200 Passing Yards — OVER
Even if you’re down on this passing attack volume for 2021, this is a soft line. Jackson nearly surpassed this total in 2019 in only 15 games played. Now adding another game to the docket with the pass game weapon infusion of Rashod Bateman, Tylan Wallace and Sammy Watkins, this is an easy over.
Kyler Murray QB, Arizona Cardinals
4,000 Passing Yards — OVER
Murray should easily surpass this mark. He was on pace before his shoulder injury last season (16 games) for 4,230 passing yards. The Cardinals ranked first in neutral-script pace last year. Passing volume won't be a concern for Murray.
Michael Thomas WR, New Orleans Saints
5.5 Receiving Touchdowns — OVER
Thomas’ line is being depressed here, coming off an injury-riddled season. In three of his past four seasons, he’s finished with nine receiving touchdowns. In only seven games played last season, he garnered only four fewer (14 vs. 10) red zone looks than Alvin Kamara, who led the team. Touchdowns are a hard stat to predict, but Thomas is still the focal point of the passing attack when the Saints are inside the 20.
