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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson
Every week — like at this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson — a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson
If we’re grading PGA DFS slates on paper, this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson might be a ‘D’ or a ‘3’ depending on the scale who choose to use. What makes it so ugly?  We have a weak field playing the week before a major championship with sloppy weather in the forecast. When you have storms […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 Byron Nelson Invitational
For a non-elevated event, the Byron Nelson field is fairly strong. Is it the prestige of the tournament or the golf course? I’m not sure, but TPC Craig Ranch does offer a surprisingly strong course fit model given the fact that we only have two years of data to work with.   A brief reminder […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship
Every week — like at this week’s Wells Fargo Championship — a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship
Championship golf returns after a two-week hiatus of sorts, and it does so to one of my favorite golf courses in the world — in large part because it is without a doubt my favorite course fit model. What does this mean for the hot takes? We’ll have to wait and see.   PGA DFS […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship
Last week’s course-fit model in Mexico had a limited sample but it still matched up perfectly by week’s end. This week we head to Quail Hollow Club where we have decades of data to tell us how to play the course. The tweaks to the course over the years have inched it more and more […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 Wells Fargo Championship
A return to Quail Hollow for the Wells Fargo means one thing – a return to my favorite course fit model in golf. It won’t take you long to see why.   A brief reminder of the thought process behind and execution of the course fit model: Golf is the only sport such that the […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Mexico Open
Every week a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-owned/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, 3rd down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Mexico Open
Another week without a designated event means a weak field is showing up in Mexico.   There are a few exceptions with the defending champ, Jon Rahm, and Tony Finau making the trip. That two-man tier at the top of the board makes things interesting when building out lineups this week. They are the cream […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Mexico Open
Buckle up, friends – this week’s hot takes is going to be a wild ride with such a weak field. PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 Mexico Open
The Mexico Open returns to Vidanta Vallarta for the second year, which unfortunately means our course fit model will have a sample size issue this week. All we can hope for is for the model to point us in the right direction, but we certainly won’t be relying on it to the same degree we […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
PGA PrizePicks for the 2023 RBC Heritage
PrizePicks offers a different way to play fantasy sports than simply building a lineup of different golfers on a salary. There are different categories of props and matchups, which are not often offered anywhere else.   PrizePicks has birdie matchups, fairways hit, greens in regulation, score and occasionally scoring on set holes on the course. […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 RBC Heritage
We have a stacked field for one of the true gems of the PGA Tour (the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town) — fantastic. There are a number of price/rostership combinations that jump out to me this week, so let’s get right into it.   PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 RBC Heritage
You may be feeling a Masters hangover, but we push on with another designated PGA Tour event this week at the RBC Heritage.    The stars are showing up this week to an event they normally skip. Some skip it for scheduling reasons while others don’t like what the course demands. It takes away the […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 RBC Heritage
There’s no time to breathe following the Masters – we’re right back at it with an extremely exciting week at Harbour Town. Year after year, this has been one of the weaker fields in golf since the best in the world like to rest after the biggest week of the season. This year, however, its […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Masters
Every week — like at this week’s WGC Dell Technologies Match Play — a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
PGA PrizePicks for the 2023 Masters
PrizePicks offers a different way to play fantasy sports than simply building a lineup of different golfers on a salary. There are different categories of props and matchups, which are not often offered anywhere else.   PrizePicks has birdie matchups, fairways hit, greens in regulation, score and occasionally scoring on set holes on the course. […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Masters
There’s really nothing like Masters week, is there? From the on-course action to the incredible Masters app, everything about this week is as good as it gets. In fact, the only way to make it even better is to make it a profitable week, as well! Fortunately, I think we have quite the edge here. […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Masters
Golf’s first major of the season is upon this week at Augusta National. That means huge prize pools and lots of casual players hopping over to try their hand at golf.  While it tempting to get cute to avoid rostership bubbles, this is also a course that punishes sloppy golf. We don’t need to travel […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit Model – The 2023 Masters
Welcome to a tradition like any other, the pinnacle of golf. The Masters is my favorite major, if for no other reason than it’s the only one played at the same course year in and year out, making for one of the strongest and most actionable course fit models of the season. Spoiler alert – […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Valero Texas Open
Every week — like at this week’s WGC Dell Technologies Match Play — a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Valero Texas Open
We have one final PGA tune-up before the Masters. It’s shaping up to be a very tough test with winds whipping for the entirety of the event.  When winds pick up, I like to lean on wind splits and scrambling. Here are some notables I’m targeting this week.    Core Targets Brendon Todd The straight […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Valero Texas Open
Sandwiched between the Match Play and The Masters, it’s easy for the Valero to get overlooked. However, the money we can make this week is just as real and we have a nice CF Model from which to do so.   PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: Valero Texas Open
One. More. Week. Seven days from now we’ll be diving full steam ahead into the Masters, but let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves. We have a chance to make it three great weeks in a row before we arrive at Augusta.   Once again, new this season, this article will focus on both […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
Course Notes and Quotes: TPC San Antonio
While many of the stars are skipping this week’s Valero Texas Open (thanks designated events), there are still a handful of juicy names in the field looking to get one final prep for the Masters or play their way into the Masters via a win.    Let’s dig into the course to see what it […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
The Murray Model: DFS plays for the 2023 Corales Puntacana Championship
My “Murray’s Model” series has been one of my favorites to do over the last few years here at FTN, as I have done this article for several different sports and in different forms. I got some nice feedback on the NBA version, so I am going to be bringing it back to the PGA […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Corales Puntacana Championship
Match play is off and running in the PGA this week, but there is still a stroke-play event for those wanting a true cut sweat. Something more familiar, with the Corales Puntacana Championnship.  The field strength is weak, but there are still DFS dollars to be won, so let’s dive right in for this week’s […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
Every week — like at this week’s WGC Dell Technologies Match Play — a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, […]
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Kyle Murray
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
This week’s hot takes are powered by 10,000 simulations (shoutout to Frank Brank) of the bracket. The simulations use my expected strokes gained projections and our round-to-round standard deviation estimates to produce the probability that each player advances through group stage, reaches the Elite Eight, reaches the Final Four, reaches the final, and wins the […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
It’s match play week in the PGA, and with a different format, so we need to change our approach when building lineups. There is no cutline to worry about, but there are groups and regions.    Golfers will play three matches in their opening group so getting all six of your golfers to advance out […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
Match play is a completely different beast than stroke play. On a weekly basis, each player is locked in a 1-on-1 matchup of man vs. course. This week only, it’s mano a mano. As it turns out, this distinction has huge ramifications when it comes to which skill sets translate into success. If you were […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
Course Notes and Quotes: Austin CC
If your NCAA brackets are busted, then fear not, it’s time to fill out another bracket this week for the WGC-Match Play.    This is the last planned edition of this event, at least for now, so enjoy it while you can. The host course is unique, opening the door for many upsets year after […]
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Josh Culp