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Alex Christenson
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Dfs PGA Articles
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson
We’re back at it again this week for the AT&T Byron Nelson. We’re a week out from the next PGA major of the year, and guys are looking to get their game into form for next week. It’s pretty normal to see a few random ejections in weeks like this so we should be targeting […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 Wells Fargo Championship Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
After a tumultuous day, we have Keegan Bradley with a two-stroke 54-hole lead. Bradley and Max Homa will be in the final group at 8-under and 6-under, respectively. There are only three other golfers within five strokes of the lead. Finding ways to get golfers into your lineup from that group should be important given […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 Wells Fargo Championship Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
2022 Wells Fargo Championship Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy The top half of the field will head to the weekend at the Wells Fargo Championship and another opportunity take down PGA Showdown contests! Before I dive into a few of my favorite golfers for the slate, be sure to check out the FTN Optimizer […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
2022 Wells Fargo Championship Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
In completely normal and expected news, Jason Day is leading a professional golf tournament in the year 2022. The Australian has slipped outside the Top 125 golfers in the world and is coming into this tourney with a string of three straight missed cuts. So, a first-round lead is exactly what we all were anticipating. […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship
Every week, like with this week’s Wells Fargo Championship a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship
The Wells Fargo Championship is taking a year away from Quail Hollow and visiting TPC Potomac this week instead. Check out my course fit article for the implications of this departure from the norm, but have no fear — despite the less ideal course fit model, there’s still an edge to be found. This course fit […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 Wells Fargo Championship Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a golf event, like this week’s Wells Fargo Championship, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an edge […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2022 Wells Fargo Championship
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s Wells Fargo Championship, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 Mexico Open Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Mexico Open Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS Golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates, like the final rounds of the Waste Management Phoenix Open. The more slates in which you impose your edge on the field, the more […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
2022 Mexico Open Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
The field’s first look at the course provided plenty of birdie opportunities on Thursday. Exactly 20 golfers shot five-under or better, including six golfers tied for the first-round lead at 7-under. Jon Rahm Brendon Todd Trey Mullinax Kurt Kitayama Jonathan Byrd Bryson Nimmer In these birdie-fest type contests, it’s easy to fall in […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2022 Mexico Open
The PGA Tour’s Mexico Open debuts this week at Vidanta Vallarta. There’s no course fit model this week, but we can still find an edge, as regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Mexico Open
Every week a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
2022 Mexico Open Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a golf event, like this week’s Mexico Open, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an edge in […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Mexico Open
After a week off for the team event, the volatility report is back for the PGA Tour’s Mexico Open. We have a new course, a weak field, and a whole bunch of questions heading into this week. That typically means that people want to get into their comfort zone and go with “safe” golfers. We’re […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA RBC Heritage Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Harold Varner had the round of the day and holds the 54-hole lead. It feels like months since we’ve had a crowded leaderboard at the top heading into Sunday. That means that rostership might not be quite as concentrated as we’ve seen in recent weeks with the leaders. I’m looking at golfers between […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA RBC Heritage Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
As we head into the weekend, Patrick Cantlay is clear of the field by two strokes at the RBC Heritage. There are 21 other golfers within five strokes of the lead, though, and there’s plenty of golf left to be played. Robert Streb is the closest chaser, just two strokes back of Cantlay. […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA RBC Heritage Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
RBC Heritage Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates like Friday’s second round at the RBC Heritage. The more slates you impose your edge on the field, the more return you should realize. […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2022 RBC Heritage
The RBC Heritage is a player-favorite thanks to Harbour Town Golf Links. A strong, intuitive course fit model demonstrates the importance of our stroke gained: driving accuracy metric. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 RBC Heritage
Every week, a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third0down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
2022 RBC Heritage Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a golf event, like this week’s RBC Heritage, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an edge in […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 RBC Heritage
We’re turning the page after an exciting Masters Tournament and moving to the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links. As things stand, we should have an exciting field barring any last-minute WDs. As we work our way through the beginning of the season, this piece will change, but it will always highlight the […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2022 RBC Heritage
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s RBC Heritage, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Masters Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 4 of The Masters is an entirely different animal from Rounds 1-3. The inclusion of finishing position bonus points makes ownership more concentrated, but it also makes it more difficult for the more contrarian options to outperform the chalkier options. Consequently, we need to be selective about where we want to differentiate. The […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Masters Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Scottie Scheffler is trying to make the final 36 holes a mere formality on the way to his first green jacket. He’s now clear of the field by a handful of strokes thanks to a stellar round today. Scheffler went 4-under on the back nine to extend his lead heading into the weekend. There’s a […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Masters Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Masters Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates like Friday’s second round at the Masters. The more slates you impose your edge on the field, the more return you should realize. Like full […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Masters Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a golf event, like this week’s Masters Tournament, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an edge in […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Masters
The DFS Volatility Report, much like the Masters, is a tradition unlike any other. As we work our way through the beginning of the season, this piece will change, but it will always highlight the volatility of the golfers in a given field for that week. The reason for that is we are targeting outsized […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Masters
Every week, a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-owned/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2022 Masters
PGA DFS Hot Takes for The Masters Welcome to Masters Week at Augusta National. A strong, unique course fit model only enhances my excitement for the event, as does the debut of our new birdie rate over expected metric. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Birdie Rate Over Expected – A Hidden Edge in PGA DFS
A new way to look at PGA DFS is with a new metric: Birdie Rate Over Expected. Below, we will discuss how this new way of looking at players can help us build better DFS lineups. What is it? Birdie rate over expected measures the amount of birdies a player makes above his expected […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, April 4
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You’re likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance. I think the most important thing in […]
Matt Jones