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Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, March 30
It’s very difficult to predict golf. I’m not breaking any news here. You all are likely familiar with trying to predict the PGA Tour if you’re reading this. It is a sport filled with randomness and with a lot of moving parts that lead to an ever-increasing amount of variance. I think the most important […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valero Texas Open Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a PGA Tour event, like this week’s Valero Texas Open, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Valero Texas Open
Every week a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Valero Texas Open
The Valero Open is our Masters appetizer once again. The field actually does feature a bit of star power with Rory McIlroy making the trip. If a couple of the more expensive golfers in the field don’t quite get it done, the rest of the field is all pretty bunched up, and the tournament seems […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: Valero Texas Open
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s Valero Texas Open, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play
The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play is one of my favorite events year in and year out, as it requires more creative thought and DFS strategy than any other PGA Tour stop. Consequently, this week I’m going to focus on the strategy and roster construction side of things more than specific plays. Regardless of the event, […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Matt’s Musings | PGA Data Study, March 22
Last week, I switched things up by talking about a little college basketball. March Madness gets everyone involved, and the PGA Tour is no exception. The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play format is just like all the bracket contests that you’ve likely been participating in for most of your adult life. I wanted to go through […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Event
The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play event tees off Wednesday this week. It’s not a traditional event, but there’s still some utility in checking out the field’s volatility for DFS. Match play is more variant than stroke play to begin with, so if you can find some volatile golfers that pull off an upset and win […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Event
Every week a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-owned/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics if you haven’t […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA WGC Dell Match Play DFS Picks and Strategy
There are two tournaments on the PGA Tour schedule this week, but the main draw will be the WGC Match Play which takes place at Austin Country Club in Austin, Texas. Outside of the majors, this is my favorite event of the year. Sunday can drag a bit with only two matches going, but Wednesday […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valspar Championship Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Another day, another golfer separating himself from the field… In Round 3, Davis Riley was three strokes better than the next closest competitor. He shot a 9-under round on his way to the 54-hole lead. Riley was just under 2 full strokes better than the nearest golfer to him in SG: Putting and over a […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valspar Championship Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Most of the scores near the top of the leaderboard from today look pretty standard. We’ve come to expect these types of scores in the 3-under to 5-under round. Then, you get to the top and you see a 10-under effort from Matthew NeSmith. In my database, going back through the 2017 season, there have […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valspar Championship Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 2 in PGA DFS showdown is all about letting everyone else over-react to Round 1. This doesn’t mean we shouldn’t take anything from the Thursday action in this week’s Valspar Championship, but we want to be disciplined about how we adjust our priors. The easiest way to do this is through projections or, my […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the Valspar Championship
Fresh off the Cam Smith outright, let’s see if we can turn the betting success into DFS glory at The Valspar Championship. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Valspar Championship Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a PGA Tour event, like this week’s Valspar Championship, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an edge […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Valspar Championship
Every week a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, 3rd down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Valspar Championship
After a long (and rather odd) week at The Players Championship, the golf world is off to the Valspar Championship. We could be in for another wild DFS week as Copperhead shows its teeth in quite a few areas around the course. As we work our way through the beginning of the season, this piece […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The Valspar Championship
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament, like this week’s Valspar Championship, provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Players Championship Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
It would be impossible to talk about DFS showdown for Round 4 of the Players Championship without mentioning the absolute weirdness of the scheduling. It’s not often I’m sitting down on a Monday morning with my coffee and talking about the final round of a PGA event, but here we are. It’s unfortunate that we […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Players Championship Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
The Players Championship Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates like the third round at The Players Championship. The more slates you impose your edge on the field, the more return you should […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Players Championship Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
This weather situation is a bit of a disaster, no pun intended. With how the forecast is shaping up, it’s hard to envision a Sunday finish at this rate. Tommy Fleetwood and Tom Hoge are tied atop the leaderboard after firing 6-under rounds. There are still about a dozen golfers that haven’t even teed off, […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the Players Championship
A week after distance proved to be the most predictive thanks to our new strokes gained: driving accuracy metric, TPC Sawgrass will reward accuracy off the tee above all else. In fact, The Players Championship sports the most predictive CF Model of all, giving us a tremendous edge this week. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Players Championship Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a PGA Tour event, like this week’s The Players Championship, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
7 under $7,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2022 Players Championship
Every week a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who is $6,000 is guaranteed to play at […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS volatility report: 2022 Players Championship
It’s officially time for The Players Championship on the PGA Tour. We’ve had a couple of high-profile withdrawals with Kevin Na and Bryson DeChambeau bowing out of the tournament, but this is still one of the strongest fields we’re likely to see all year. As we work our way through the beginning of the season, […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The Players Championship
Golf is the only sport in which the “arena” in which the game is played changes dramatically from one event to another. Consequently, each tournament provides its own unique challenge, which emphasizes certain areas of the game more than others. At this point, you’ll want to familiarize yourself with the strokes gained statistics if you haven’t […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 4 Showdown Picks and Strategy
We’re heading into the third round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational. As things stand now, we have a two-way tie at the top of the leaderboard. Billy Horschel and Talor Gooch are tied at 7-under. With the current bunched-up leaderboard and the relative shakiness of the leaders, I don’t mind taking some chasers. If I’m […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 3 Showdown Picks and Strategy
We’re heading into the third round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational. As things stand now, we have Viktor Hovland two strokes clear of the field. There are quite a few elite golfers nipping at his heels, though. Tyrrell Hatton, Rory McIlroy, and Cameron Young to name a few. People in the Discord understand Young’s elite-ness. […]
Matt Jones
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 2 Showdown Picks and Strategy If you believe you have an edge in DFS golf in general, then you should be trying to take advantage of showdown slates like Friday’s second round at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The more slates you impose your edge on the field, the more return you […]
Bryan DeCorte
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the Arnold Palmer Invitational
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the Arnold Palmer Invitational The Arnold Palmer Invitational is a perfect place to debut our strokes gained: driving accuracy metric, as Bay Hill rewards both distance and accuracy off the tee at a high clip. Regardless of the event, PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
2022 PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 1 Showdown Picks and Strategy
Round 1 DFS showdown for a PGA Tour event, like this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational, may not have the same edges that we can find in Rounds 2-4 when the field is overreacting to what the saw the previous day, but there are still edges to be found. Overall, if you believe you have an […]
Bryan DeCorte