Sometimes it’s not the sexiest of games that make our money. This week, Oregon travels to Arizona in what seems like a benign matchup. A deeper look reveals a wonderful opportunity for us to cash in on a big play.
The Ducks are solid and hitting their stride. They boast the easiest remaining schedule of any playoff hopeful, and Arizona plays into their formula. The Wildcats have barely shown competence through three games.
We’re exploring whether you should play this spread or total and why the answer is yes.
We have you covered from every angle of this matchup. Let’s dig in.
Oregon Ducks vs. Arizona Wildcats Week 4 Odds
Here is a look at the Week 4 betting odds between Arizona and Oregon odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Oregon -28.5 (-105)
- Over/Under 59 (-115)
- Moneyline – N/A
Oregon at Arizona Game Preview
Here’s a look at the preview between Arizona and Oregon for Week 4.
Oregon offense vs. Arizona defense
The strategy for Oregon will be clear this week: don’t worry about the passing game, just run all over Arizona. Not only do the Ducks have a feared rushing attack, but it matches up extremely well against one of the worst run defenses in the country. The Wildcats have allowed 193 yards per game despite playing San Diego State and Northern Arizona the last two weeks.
Oregon will give their backfield plenty of touches as they look to make this contest quick and painless. Quarterback Anthony Brown should have no issues with efficiency either, as Arizona has allowed a 64% completion rate. Teams simply haven’t thrown enough to accumulate a ton of yards because they haven’t needed to.
Arizona must play better and more physically. They don’t have the high-end talent or experience to overcome their issues though, making Oregon’s success more of an inevitability.
Arizona offense vs Oregon defense
Arizona, simply, cannot run the ball effectively with their offensive line. Quarterback Will Plummer is prone to turnovers and has completed under 54% of his attempts on the season. Oregon would have to completely fall asleep to allow Arizona to find the endzone more than once.
We saw some weakness as Ohio State threw for almost 500 yards against the Oregon secondary but the parallels don’t translate for Arizona. Their best bet might be turning to sophomore Jordan McCloud, who looked like a gamer in his limited playing time this season.
Otherwise, Arizona will need to rely on trickery and special performances from unsuspecting playmakers.
Betting Trends for Oregon at Arizona
Arizona has failed to cover in six of their last seven games en route to 10 straight losses. The under has hit in eight of their last 11 games.
Oregon has also struggled with the spread, covering twice in eight tries. They too have hit the under often, with five of their last six going under.
CFB Betting Picks – Oregon at Arizona
Neither of these teams have proven trustworthy thus far. Oregon tends to play down to competition but they have overwhelming talent compared to Arizona. I don’t think Oregon bulldozes Arizona, but they contain Arizona’s poor offense to a limited point total enough to cover.
Best Bets: Oregon -28.5 (-105) and Under 59 (-110)