At this point, it’s no secret that Army has a legitimate football team this year and are in the conversation for a playoff spot. There is plenty of football left to play, but Bryson Daily is going to have Army competitive the rest of the way. They are running a spread variation of the traditional triple-option offense, and it’s befuddled every team they’ve faced so far. He has rushed for 909 yards and a ridiculous 19 touchdowns, which you’d expect in this offense. But it’s his 629 yards through the air and 7 TDs to zero interceptions that has really elevated his game. Air Force won’t offer much resistance and the worry of “time of possession” isn’t a concern like it was in the past. I would highly recommend you watch Army play this weekend. He will be one of the more popular options this week, but I’ll gladly eat this chalk.
Rocco Becht, Iowa State ($6.5k DK/$10.5k FD)
FanDuel has actually priced Becht high enough to where it’s a decision, but on DraftKings it’s an easy point and click into your lineup. Rocco and the Cyclones are a surprising 7-0 this season and are coming off of a bye, which means they’ll be even more rested than usual. Rocco led a massive comeback win over UCF in Week 8 and he really showed the masses that he is more than a “game manager” as some folks in the industry erroneously called him. He has thrown for over 1,700 yards and 11 TDs to 5 INTs while rushing for 152 yards/4 TDs. It’s the best DVP spot of the weekend for a QB as well as he gets to face a Texas Tech defense that is getting blasted every single game. Josh Hoover threw for 344 yards/3 TDs last week and Sawyer Robertson lit them up for 274 yards/5 TDs the week before. Becht has a strong group of receivers to throw the ball to and a committee backfield that is adequate enough to keep most defenses honest. As the founder of the 4 RB club, I have to tell you that I’m all over the traditional 2-QB build this weekend.
Will Howard, Ohio State ($8.1k DK/$9.8k FD)
I don’t know what that offensive playcalling was last week against Nebraska, but I hope we never have to see it again. The Buckeyes coaching staff had one of the most passive gameplans I’ve ever seen from that program, and it was especially bad when you consider the fact they were coming off a bye. This is an important matchup against Penn State that the Buckeyes simply cannot afford to lose if they want to keep their hold on a probable playoff spot. Howard is too good of a quarterback and the receivers are too talented to simply run the ball 60% of the game. Howard won’t make it into my main build, but I will absolutely have Buckeyes stacks in large-field GPPs.
Additional QB Options
Owen McCowan, UTSA: He had big shoes to fill after the graduation of legendary QB Frank Harris, but he has done as admirable of a job as he could. He threw for well over 400 yards in a shootout loss to Tulsa last week and has attempted 40-plus passes in four straight games. The Memphis defense has completely fallen apart in recent weeks, and this is shaping up to look like a Madden video game instead of your typical C-USA matchup. Owen has thrown for 2,084 yards through eight games and scored a total of 17 touchdowns (16 passing/1 rushing).
Seth Henigan, Memphis: On the other side we have the always poised veteran, Seth Henigan. His stats haven’t looked as good this year as they have in the past but a lot of that has to do with the fact that Mario Anderson is having a monster year at RB for the Tigers. Don’t be fooled. Henigan is an extremely capable master that has masterful control of the Memphis playbook. The Road Runners defense is a sieve, and he will have no problem picking them apart throughout the game. His price is cheap enough to get some exposure but he is just short of being a priority because Anderson is a better play at this moment. Most of the industry will agree with me, so we may get Henigan rostership much lower than it should be. This could be North Texas vs. Tulane territory, folks.
Avery Johnson, Kansas State: The fantasy community just doesn’t appreciate Avery Johnson, and I’m projecting him to be well below 10% rostership this week, which is astonishing. He has developed further as a passer without sacrificing his elite rushing upside. They have won four straight games, and Johnson has looked like the best QB in the country in all but one of them. He has now thrown for 1,600 yards and 16 TDs while adding 373 yards/4 TDs on the ground. There are some out there that think his rushing upside is lacking, but he has rushed for 60-plus yards in four of his last six games.
Zeon Chriss, Houston: He is a min-price option that flashed major upside in Houston’s upset win over TCU, but he has been dealing with an injury ever since that has affected him in the last two games. I like the matchup for him against the Wildcats but there is a very real possibility of him giving us a single-digit performance. He will make some alt GPP builds for me just in case he has one of his 100-yard rushing games, but he is clearly not anywhere close to being SE viable.
Cam Ward, Miami FL: How could I ever break down a slate that includes the Miami Hurricanes without mentioning my guy Cam Ward? After my Supershow co-host dogged him out last week, he had his worst game of the season. This had everything to do with the fact that Florida State is a shell of their former selves and Ward simply wasn’t needed. They’re facing a more competent Duke team this week and I can guarantee the Heisman candidate will be back to throwing for over 300 yards once again. He is expensive and not a practical main team play due to the cheaper options we have available but it’s never a bad thing to know you have a QB available with a floor of 30 fantasy points.
Dylaz Rizk, UCF: The QB3 got action in their recent loss to BYU and actually looked solid, completing 6 of his 10 passes for 102 yards/1 TD. He also rushed for 31 yards showing he possesses some level of mobility. Jacurri Brown and KJ Jefferson are essentially glorified running backs and head coach Gus Malzahn has been dodgy about who he plans to start this week at the position. A min-price option like Rizk is intriguing because it’s a favorable matchup against Arizona but if he falters early, the chances of him being pulled for Brown are quite high. This is more of an awareness piece than an actual recommendation.
FD-Only Options
Cade Klubnik, Clemson Eli Holstein, Pittsburgh Kevin Jennings, SMU
Running Backs
Mario Anderson, Memphis ($7.8k DK Only)
Unfortunately, we are going to be chalkier than usual, but the top plays are just too good to fade. Anderson is going to get 20-plus touches and be involved in a game that projects to be one of the highest scoring on the slate. His carries are secured but he is also contributing as a pass-catcher out of the backfield heavily. He is 4th on the team in targets with 36 and has caught 32 passes for 192 yards. He has at least 3 receptions in all but one game so far this season and those PPR points can add up quickly as we know.
Trevor Etienne, Georgia ($6.5k DK/$8.9k FD)
Another popular back that I’m all over in Week 10. Branson Robinson is out so Nate Frazier is pretty much the only other back besides Etienne that will get work. He was instrumental in the win over Texas last week grinding out 87 yards and 3 TDs on 19 carries. This is another RB that is involved in the passing game as well. He has 15 receptions in the last three games alone. The Gators have been a bit more competitive as the second half of the season started and they’ve been better against the pass. However, they’re still struggling to contain opposing RBs, so this is just a smash spot for Etienne. His combination of efficiency and usage makes him one of the best plays at the position this week.
DJ Giddens, Kansas State ($7.6k DK Only)
Giddens doesn’t necessarily have the upside that some of the other backs on this slate have but his floor is about as safe as it gets. He loses rushing work to Avery Johnson and Dylan Edwards, but his efficiency helps negate a lot of that. He has an impressive YPC of 6.5 with 945 yards and 5 TDs (4 rushing/1 receiving). He has also caught 12 passes for 197 yards, so the staff ensures he is getting his touches in some form or fashion. It’s a hefty price tag but he is a fantastic anchor player to put into your lineups.
Additional RB Options
Justice Ellison, Indiana: We correctly predicted that Ellison would see a larger workload last week against Washington and he paid off handsomely if you used him. The combination of Rourke being out and the Huskies defense struggling against the run put him in the fantasy spotlight. Kurtis Rourke is back this week but I don’t necessarily think that means Ellison’s touches cascade downward. He has major TD equity in this offense and has clearly demonstrated an ability to push through would-be tacklers in any situation. His running style makes it so that he gets a fair amount of red zone carries. Ty Son Lawton and Kaelon Black are talented, but Ellison has emerged at the top of the RB pyramid for the Hoosiers.
Kanye Udoh, Army: We have seen QB-RB pairings wind up optimal plenty of times this season and most in the industry are still hesitant about deploying that build type. Most people are going to be on Bryson Daily, but far fewer will utilize his RB1, Kaney Udoh. There is typically enough rushing work to go around in a Service Academy offense but as we discussed earlier, Army runs a variation that is very different from what is considered “traditional.” Udoh has gotten the bulk of the carries after Daily, which makes him a very safe option in terms of usage. He has had 14 or more carries in three of his last four games. He has now rushed for 633 yards and 7 TDs, so his $5.5k price is more than reasonable if you want to go that route. Former QB Tyrell Robinson is back from injury and did get into the game against ECU where he rushed for 23 yards on 1 carry, so there is a chance his touches get ramped up, but Udoh is still a fantastic overall play.
RJ Harvey, UCF: The luxury play of the week is RJ Harvey. It was tough to afford him in Week 9, but if you did you were rewarded with a 30 spot. UCF’s uncertainty at QB and lack of health in the receiving room mean Harvey is basically their offense. The fact that he is still able to perform at a high level despite being the focus of the defense is nothing short of incredible.
Robert Henry, UTSA: It’s been Robert Henry and not Kevorian Barnes or Rocko Griffin that has emerged as the RB1 for the Road Runners. Henry isn’t terribly efficient with his touches, but he is getting a lot of them. He has toted the rock 46 times in their last two games while also adding 7 receptions in that same span.
Miami RBs: It may be time to start considering the Hurricanes backfield for the first time all season. Damien Martinez channeled the Oregon State version of himself and ran for 148 yards/2 TDs on 15 carries. Mark Fletcher racked up 71 yards and a TD on 15 carries. It was the third straight game in which Fletcher had double-digit carries and scored over 12 FPS. At just $4k on DK, he is a salary-saver worth looking at. Martinez is still a bit pricey for me, but he has shown he is still capable of breaking a slate and has now crossed the 30 FPS threshold in two of his last five games.
Tahj Brooks, Texas Tech: Brooks is entrenched as a “play him if you can afford” type of option. The lead back for the Red Raiders has rattled off 22+ fantasy points in four straight games and has been below 20 touches only once this season.
FD-Only Options
Cam Skattebo, ASU Desmond Reid, Pitt Brashard Smith, SMU Woody Marks, USC Phil Mafah, Clemson Rocket Sanders, South Carolina
Receivers (WRs/TEs)
Iowa State WRs
Jaylin Noel (37-681-3, 57 targets) and Jayden Higgins (45-563-6, 61 targets) are very clearly at the top of the priority list at receiver this week. We have established that Texas Tech is a very soft defense and Iowa State should have no issues racking up points against them. If you are rolling Becht, you’ll obviously want at least one of his primary weapons but it’s very reasonable to utilize both in a triple-stack build. Noel is $800 cheaper on DK so we are likely to see more rostership for him, but I am definitely going to be working to fit both into my main lineup.
Memphis Receivers
You should be looking to get Memphis pass-catchers in lineups that fade Mario Anderson this week. The offense is going to have a lot of success moving the ball up and down the field so getting exposure in a variety of ways is the ticket to having a profitable slate. Roc Taylor (39-551-2, 60 targets), DeMeer Blankumsee (28-335-3, 46 targets), Koby Drake (26-313-0, 42 targets) and TE Anthony Landphere (23-261-2, 31 targets) make up main weapons for Seth Henigan. Taylor and Blankumsee are the most trustworthy fantasy assets but Landphere is a cheap tight end that has touchdown written all over him for this game.
Additional Receiver Options
Chris Carpenter, UTSA: This is my Dalton Carnes play of the week. UTSA has a multitude of injuries in their receiving room and could be without one of their best wideouts in Devin McCuin. They already lost star WR De’Corian Clark for the season so Carpenter will have to step up in a major way. He has been targeted 21 times in the past two games and his 8-119-1 performance against Tulsa recently has caught a lot of attention. Much like Carnes last week, I think Carpenter goes slightly overlooked and has the potential to shatter his miniscule price tag. Willie McCoy also has viability in this matchup.
Zakhari Franklin, Illinois: It’s been a couple of years since Franklin was starring at UTSA himself, but he has been able to establish himself as one of the most dependable weapons on this Illinois team. His price tag is still in the low $4k range on DK, and he is yet to have the type of slate-breaking game we know he is capable of but this is the time to target him. He put together a respectable 6 catches for 72 yards in the loss to Oregon and one of those receptions went for 44 yards. Franklin can take the top off of a defense, but he is also a reliable receiver on short throws as well. Fellow wideout Pat Bryant is a GTD so Franklin could see even more targets than usual if he can’t go.
Ohio State WRs: We were all over Jeremiah Smith last week and predictably got him at low rostership. Unfortunately, the Buckeyes’ puzzling offensive play-calling left a lot of meat on the bone when it came to his final stat line, but he did give us 3-70-1. I truly believe OSU gets back to passing more this week against Penn State and Jeremiah Smith should be heavily targeted as will Emeka Egbuka. Nobody will want to roster them due to the perceived notion that the Nittany Lions are a lock-down defense but capable offenses like USC, Bowling Green and even Wisconsin have had success throwing the ball against them.
Daniel Jackson, Minnesota: Jackson has become a strong fantasy asset and the way the Gophers threw the ball last week has me strongly considering going back to him once again. He has 19 receptions for 206 yards and 2 TDs in the last two games. It’s a much tougher matchup against a scrappy Illini team, but the targets/usage will be there.
Chimere Dike, Florida: I don’t typically like targeting against Georgia, but at $3.6k, Dike has to be considered. The Gators have the uber-talented DJ Lagway under center now, and this is a gamescript that will demand they throw the ball more. This means more targets for the talented Dike, and he benefits even more from the various injuries that their other receivers are dealing with.
Cayden Lee, Ole Miss: If Tre Harris is out once again, Lee becomes one of the better values on the slate. Hs is sub $4k on DK and has looked the part over the past two games. He has jumped to second on the team in targets with 39 and has a whopping 18 in the last two games.
Bryson Daily Mario Anderson Jaylin Noel or Jayden Higgins
FanDuel Core
Rocco Becht Woody Marks Jaylin Noel or Jayden Higgins
PrizePicks Plays
Trevor Etienne OVER 81.5 Rushing Yards Justice Ellison OVER 72.5 Rushing Yards DJ Giddens OVER 100.5 Rushing Yards Nick Marsh OVER 37.5 Receiving Yards Jaylin Noel OVER 79.5 Receiving Yards Jayden Higgins OVER 82.5 Receiving Yards
Underdogs Plays
Jeremiah Smith OVER 29.5 Longest Reception Will Howard OVER 232.5 Passing Yards Cam Ward OVER 308.5 Passing Yards Zakhari Franklin OVER 4.5 Receptions Trevor Etienne OVER 0.5 Touchdowns
Best Bets
Kansas State -12.5 Ohio State vs. Penn State OVER 45.5 Total Points Illinois +3 Arizona +6.5 Trevor Etienne 80+ Rushing Yards (-145) Jayden Higgins 100+ Receiving Yards (+155) Jaylin Noel 80+ Receiving Yards (-120)
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