College Football DFS Archives - Page 24 of 31 - FTN (For The Numbers) - Fantasy Football, DVOA, Betting, DFS

Bettings

Fantasy
DVOA
DFS
Betting

NFL
MLB
NBA
PGA

Log In Sign Up Pricing

A big Saturday is almost upon us, and we have a massive 13-game college football DFS slate on tap for DraftKings, after the USC-Cal game was postponed due to COVID-19. The all-day main slate is still 14 games over on FanDuel.

In this breakdown, I will be highlighting my top plays at each position while giving you a three-man core for both DFS sites. In addition to this, I will be listing my favorite PrizePicks plays to attack.

As always, be sure that you’re in the CFB DFS Discord so that you don’t miss any breaking news such as late scratches or surprise starters. There are only a few weeks left in the regular season, so let’s make them count with a big win Saturday.

Vegas Odds

Team	Odds	Team	Oddsl	Total
Miss State	+175	Auburn	-210 (-5.5)	50
West Virginia	+190	Kansas State	-235 (-6)	47
Oklahoma	-235 (-5.5)	Baylor	+190	62
UCF	+225	SMU	-280 (-7)	61.5
Rutgers	+230	Indiana	-275 (-7)	43.5
Michigan	-125 (-1)	Penn State	+105	48.5
Northwestern	+1200	Wisconsin	-2500 (-24)	41
Georgia	-1250 (-20)	Tennessee	+750	56
Miami	-145 (-3)	Florida State	+125	61
Iowa State	-425 (-10.5)	Texas Tech	+320	58.5
Minnesota	+170	Iowa	-200 (-4.5)	37.5
Purdue	+750	Ohio State	-1250 (-21)	63
Maryland	+360	Michigan State	-490 (-12)	60.5

Quarterbacks

Taulia Tagovailoa, Maryland

($5.9k DK/$7.7k FD)

This will be the third week in a row we get a cheap quarterback against the Swiss cheese Spartans secondary. Cade McNamara and Aidan O’Connell have decimated the Michigan State passing defense in back-to-back games, so now it’s baby Tua’s turn. Taulia hasn’t had the best season, but he has had a brutal schedule that certainly hasn’t helped. He was tearing it up for the first four weeks of the season against softer competition but the second the schedule got harder, the production fell off. This is an excellent buy-low spot, and I am going to be using the opposing QB against Michigan State for the rest of the season.

Aidan O’Connell, Purdue

($5.4k DK/$7k FD)

Speaking of O’Connell, he is back in play again this week and has somehow fallen $200 despite having a monster game against the Spartans. This is a game with two fantasy friendly defenses and AOC will have to throw the ball 45-plus times again in order to keep up with the Buckeyes dynamic offense. He has at least 32 pass attempts in five straight games. Let the passing barrage continue.

Also Consider

Caleb Williams, Oklahoma

($10k DK/$11.8k FD)

While I’m going to continue going cheap at QB each main slate, there is a lot of merit to paying up for DFS mega-star Williams this weekend. I think it’s more doable on FanDuel where the pricing structure is much different and touchdowns are much more important. Williams TD equity in this offense is massive when you consider he has elite dual threat ability. He has a total of 18 touchdowns (14 passing/4 rushing) since taking over as the starter and should rack up the fantasy points in a likely shootout with the Baylor Bears.

Additional GPP/MME Targets

Donaven McCulley, QB, Indiana — The QB position is up in the air for the Hoosiers with Michael Penix and Jack Tuttle rumored to be close to returning. If McCulley does in fact start you’re getting a guy near min price with rushing ability. It’s also a fantasy friendly matchup against Rutgers.

Jordan Travis, QB, FSU — If healthy, he will be facing a soft Miami defense in a game that we expect to be a shootout. The price tag isn’t that appealing overall, but he is a high-level GPP play in a fantastic game environment.

Tyler Van Dyke, QB, Miami — Has thrown for over 1,800 yards and 15 TDs to just 4 INTs since taking over for the injured D’Eriq King. He should be able to move the offense up and down the field against this FSU defense.

Running Backs

Braelon Allen, Wisconsin

($8.2k DK-Only Play)

While I wish the price was cheaper, I’m still going to be close to all in on Allen this week. I’ve been hyping this kid up in the Discord the last couple of weeks as he just continues slamming 100-plus rushing yards each game. With Chez Mellusi now out for the year, the backfield belongs to Allen and gets the best matchup on the slate against a Northwestern defense that is giving up well over 200 yards per game on the ground. In seven games, he has rushed for 661 yards and 6 touchdowns. I will continue to exploit the RB vs. NW rush defense matchup until the season ends. We will have company as far as ownership goes but this is a slam dunk play. Backup Julius Davis who is stone min price could wind up winning you a GPP because if this turns into a blowout, he would surely get 10-plus touches in a dream matchup.

Jaylan Knighton, Miami

($7.9k DK/$9.2k FD)

I’m hoping the ownership comes in under 10-15% this week on Knighton, and I think it’s possible with his price point being wedged in the middle of some really good backs. He has been smashing since taking over the RB1 job due to injuries to their other backs. He has amassed 461 yards and 5 TDs while also catching 13 passes for 167 yards and 2 more scores. He has 20-plus DK points in four straight games.

Also Consider

Kenneth Walker, Michigan State

($8.9k/$10.5k FD)

We mentioned that baby Tua gets a great matchup against the Spartans secondary, which makes Heisman Kenny a great runback type of play for those that prioritize correlation in their builds. The Terps rush defense has been subpar all year, and it would not surprise me to see him put up 150-plus and multiple scores. He has rushed for over 1,300 yards and 15 touchdowns through nine games.

Additional GPP/MME Targets

TreVeyon Henderson, RB, OSU — Tre Day had a relatively disappointing day last week but very easily could have been a slate breaker if TD variance went his way. We are expecting a high-scoring game between Purdue and OSU, so naturally you’d think to go after the passing weapons. But as our guy Jake Kucheck stated on the show last night, this is a great matchup for premiere RBs. He is a mortal lock for 20-plus touches and has shown legit game-breaking ability every time they get him the ball. He is plenty active in the passing game, which gives him a high floor due to DK using PPR scoring. In a “down game” last week he still put up 20 fantasy points despite not reaching 100 rushing yards. His ownership should be on the lower side this week as well with so many good plays around him.

Breece Hall, RB, Iowa State — You should know this by now, but Hall is one of the best RBs in the game. He will get his 30-plus touches regardless of gamescript. The price is high but if you can get there, he will rarely break your heart.

Deuce Vaughn, RB, Kansas State — The Deuce has been loose all season long and has helped us build our bankrolls because of it. The price has finally hit a level where we can’t just mindlessly plug him into our main builds unfortunately. He is matchup proof and is one of the more elite pass-catching backs in FBS. Just like Breece Hall, if you can get there without sacrificing the rest of your build you do it.

Abram Smith, RB, Baylor — I think we see Baylor get back to establishing the run this week as they inexplicably abandoned it against TCU and paid the price with a very bad loss. The Sooners defense is far worse than people seem to realize and if he can get back to 20-plus carries again, he should pay this tag off.

Leddie Brown, RB, WV — Brown is underpriced at just $6.1k. He had back-to-back games over 30 fantasy points games prior to getting gamescripted out last week. The K State rush defense is a beatable unit, and we should see Brown get his usual 20-plus touches in this one.

Treshaun Ward, RB, FSU — There is talk about getting Ward more carries with Lawrance Toafili banged up. He has been great with his relatively limited touches each game and has rushed for a surprising 444 yards and 3 touchdowns through nine games with an impressive YPC of 6.9. This is a great matchup against a putrid Miami defense so if they decide to give him somewhere between 12 and 15 touches at minimum, he could shatter his sub-$4k price point.

Chris Childers, RB, Indiana — With Stephen Carr nursing an injury, Childers could be thrust into a bell cow spot. Rutgers is a fantasy friendly defense and with the uncertainty at QB, the Hoosiers could opt to pound the rock 25-plus times this week.

Wide Receivers

Purdue WRs

If you’re planning on playing Aidan O’Connell again this week, then pairing him with one of his pass catchers is a must. The obvious play is David Bell, who is comically cheap at $6.7k. He has been targeted a team-high 91 targets with a stat line of 63-995-5. Getting to 100-plus and multiple touchdowns should be in the cards for Bell this week. It sounds like Payne Durham will play this week, but he was in uniform against the Spartans … though he only took 1 snap. Secondary options to look at are Jackson Anthrop, who is now being included in the rushing game as well with 10 carries his past two games and Milton Wright who is second on the team with 51 targets.

Maryland WRs

The correlation crowd is going to love me this week as I’m looking to pair up both of my QBs with receivers. With Dontay Demus out, we all thought Rakim Jarrett would step in and be the alpha, but that simply hasn’t happened. He is leading the team with 56 targets overall and is very much in play in this matchup at just $4.5k though. I expect him to be popular and I will have exposure. However, my favorite play of the group is tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo, who is coming off a 15-target, 12-catch game against Penn State. Tight ends tend to be safety valves for QBs that get jittery in the pocket so I think we could see another game over 7 targets for Okonkwo. Marcus Fleming has been quietly consistent lately with 4-plus catches in three straight games. Lastly, we have Carlos Carriere, but he is the most expensive of the group and doesn’t seem to have any middle ground. He either breaks the slate or is non-existent.

Also Consider

Bo Melton, Rutgers

($5k DK-Only Play)

I’m a big Bo Melton guy and have been for a long time. He should see a spike in targets with Aron Cruickshank out for the year. There is talk that Noah Vedral will give it a go this weekend at QB after suffering an injury and that would obviously help Melton tremendously. Melton leads the team with 68 targets and has 44 catches for 480 yards/3 TDs. He has the production of a $7k receiver at a $5k price, sign me up. You can also look to Shameen Jones at near min price. He should see his volume go up as well with the Cruickshank injury. Jones is second in targets with 46 and has a stat line of 29-261. He is probably my favorite value play if you aren’t using Melton.

Additional GPP/MME Targets

Ty Fryfogle, WR, Indiana — The price continues to be cheap for Fryfogle but the uncertainty at QB has destroyed his value this year. If Penix or Tuttle were to return for this game, he is worth a look.

Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State — I usually advocate taking the cheapest of the three main Buckeyes pass catchers and that happens to be Olave this week. Garrett Wilson is expected back but Olave is a threat to take it to the house every time he touches it.

Reggie Roberson, WR, SMU — I could see him being semi chalky at his sub-$5k price tag. There is talk of SMU getting snaps at QB for heralded frosh Preston Stone. This could affect the targets of the SMU wideouts as it messes up continuity.

Ryan O’Keefe, WR, UCF — If Jaylon Robinson sits out again, we have to consider O’Keefe exposure in some of our builds. O’Keefe has been a target machine without Robinson on the field and has 21 targets in his past three games alone. They also scheme to get him the ball on jet sweeps and other designed running plays, so his upside is sky high.

DraftKings Core

Taulia Tagovailoa
Braelon Allen
David Bell

FanDuel Core

Caleb Williams
Kyren Williams (he should destroy the Virginia rush defense)
David Bell

PrizePicks Plays

Sean Clifford OVER 194.5 Passing Yards (what is this number?)
Leddie Brown OVER 79.5 Rushing Yards
Benjamin Yurosek OVER 4 Receptions
Jaylan Knight OVER .5 Rushing TDs
Jaquarii Roberson OVER 89.5 Receiving Yards
AT Perry OVER 92.5 Receiving Yards