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We absolutely crushed on this college football DFS slate last weekend, and so did everyone else, with scores making it well into the high 200s. That is not something we normally see and was a function of all the underpriced running back talent.

We’re back at it as the calendar turns to November, and we find ourselves on the home stretch of conference play. The Utah/Arizona game has an extremely high total and also a spread that doesn’t make a ton of sense given how many pieces may end up being out for Utah. The Texas and Kansas St game as well as the Wake Forest and NC St games should be hard fought, close battles ripe with fantasy production. Even in the Michigan and Clemson games that are low totals, we have some potential fantasy production to look into.

Favorite	Dog	Spread	Total
Utah	Arizona	-17.5	68
Alabama	LSU	-13	56.5
Texas	Kansas St	-2.5	54.5
Boise St	BYU	-8	54.5
Wake Forest	North Carolina St	-4	54
Florida St	Miami	-7.5	53
Mississippi St	Auburn	-12.5	51
Michigan	Rutgers	-26	45
Clemson	Notre Dame	-3.5	44

Quarterback

Taylen Green, Boise St ($6,300)

I’m not 100% sold on Taylen Green as the answer at QB long term for Boise State, but he has shown enough this year, both with his dual-threat ability and as a true passer that deploying him against a suspect BYU defense is warranted. This game being at home further strengthens my interest in Green, who struggled on the road against a disciplined service academy defense in Air Force but came back strong with over 300 passing yards and 3 total TDs against Colorado State. A similar outing may be in the cards for him against BYU who recently struggled to contain ECU’s Holton Ahlers around the goal line, allowing him to score twice on the ground, and have generally been one of the worst defenses in all of college football.

Will Rogers, Miss St ($7,600)

It’s been a tough go of it for Rogers lately, with matchups against staunch defenses in Kentucky and Alabama curtailing his production, but he gets a much better matchup here in an Auburn defense that has struggled in all phases, most recently allowing KJ Jefferson to have his way with them and the week prior allowing an extremely efficient performance to Ole Miss and Jaxon Dart. Rogers doesn’t have the same sort of dual-threat ability, but should be able to slice this Auburn defense however he sees fit.

Jayden De Laura, Arizona ($7,700)

We trusted De Laura as a big underdog in last week’s matchup with USC, and he paid off handsomely with a 36-point DK outing. He’s in a similar spot against Utah — the Utes have a reputation of having a good defense but have seen themselves get torched by top-tier offensive attacks like UCLA, USC and to a degree, Florida. De Laura and his trio of elite wideouts will likely be too much for Utah’s DBs to handle, and I see Arizona easily covering the massive spread, likely keeping this one interesting for the duration of the contest.

Quinn Ewers, Texas ($6,200)

We have seen flashes of brilliance from Ewers so far, but this is still a young QB in a run-first attack, and when you have Bijan Robinson, that makes a great deal of sense. However, Texas is coming off a bye week with a sour taste in their mouth after a 41-34 defeat at the hands of Oklahoma St, and Ewers was dreadful in that game so I would anticipate some easy throws being designed to help get him in a rhythm. That means the limited pass catching options, primarily Xavier Worthy, Jordan Whittington and especially Ja’Tavion Sanders who excels in underneath routes should be busy against a Kansas St defense that struggled mightily in their most recent test against TCU (going to chalk their shutout of Oklahoma St up to Spencer Sanders injury). Ewers is a viable candidate for 25-plus DK points with upside for more.

MJ Morris, NC St ($5,400)

With an injury to starter Devin Leary and not much faith in backup Jack Chambers, the Wolfpack turned to true freshman MJ Morris against Virginia Tech, and he absolutely lit up the scoreboard, going 20-of-29 with 3 TDs once entering the game. His immediate connection with Thayer Thomas sparked NC St to a close 22-21 win, and now that he’s been able to bask in the glory of that victory for a bit and importantly take a full week’s worth of practice reps with the 1st team, he should be ready to take on a Wake Forest opponent that should have no trouble putting up points in their own right, meaning Morris will have to be gunning from the get go. At only $5,400, he’s an appealing price saving option that can be paired with an equally affordable stacking combo of Thayer Thomas and Trent Pennix.

Running Back

Blake Corum, Michigan ($7,700)

We find ourselves in this spot every time we have Corum on the slate — the only thing that can stop Corum is Michigan getting out to too big of a lead too quickly and turning things over to Donovan Edwards, but even in precisely that scenario against Michigan St, Corum went 33-177-1 on the ground and added another score in the passing game, so plenty of volume was available despite the Spartans scoring only a single time all game. We’ve been on the Corum train all season, and we will continue to ride the train as long as he can stay healthy.

Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama ($8,300)

A slight tick up in price from Corum is justifiable with Gibbs’ significant passing game involvement — he’s caught 3 or more balls in all but two of Alabama’s games this season. With the Tide expected to roll as double-digit favorite, and with LSU’s soft run defense awaiting Gibbs, he should be able to pile up plenty of numbers both by land and by air. He’s a top play and should be prioritized just as much as Corum.

Bijan Robinson, Texas ($8,900)

While Robinson is as steady as they come, he’s a bit priced out of having massive upside. He’s put up 22-plus DK points in every game this season, so can certainly anchor your team and be counted on for a certain level of production, but he’s also only topped 40 DK points once this season, and so at $9K you’re asking him to basically get you 30-35 DK pts, which is extremely doable but also wouldn’t be a slate-breaking score. He also hasn’t seen 30-plus carries yet this season, so he doesn’t see the sort of volume some backs on this slate do. None of this of course has to do with Bijan the player, who is excellent and probably the best RB in all of college football. Nor does it have to do with the matchup, which is fair but not great. It just has to do with the fact that Bijan will essentially need both 100 yards rushing and 3 total TDs to even crack relevancy on this slate, and that’s a fairly narrow ask without having much meat on the bone to profit at this price point.

Deuce Vaughn, Kansas St ($7,100)

On the other hand, Vaughn (and the other side of this game) is coming off by far his best game of the season, in which he went for 22-158-1 on the ground and 4-18-1 in the passing game. It could have been an even bigger game than that had Kansas St not called off the dogs early en route to eventually winning 48-0 against Oklahoma St. With a marquee matchup and Vaughn having every bit of health and motivation to allow him to show out in what should be a close game, the sky’s the limit on his production.

George Holani, Boise St ($7,300)

If Taylen Green isn’t the route you want to go and you think that Boise St will make things easy on him by turning around handing off to Holani against a BYU defense that is dreadful against the run, you’re probably going to do just fine. Holani has been seeing a ton of volume relative to what he has seen in the past — 16-plus carries in all but one game as well as consistent passing game work, and has a nose for the end zone, having scored three times on the ground his last time out. There’s very little that will be able to stop him other than play-calling, and even that should work out in his favor if Boise St is able to execute the way they want on offense.

Tank Bigsby, Auburn ($5,600)

It was all smiles in the FTN Discord a week ago when Bigsby opened things up with a big first half, but then faded down the stretch on the way to a satisfactory but not earth shattering performance. We get another opportunity to deploy him in the mid $5K range, and despite Auburn being double-digit dogs in this one, Bigsby’s passing game role and overall talent should make him a viable back to use in this one.

Utah RB Roulette

For the life of me I can’t tell you what’s happening with Tavion Thomas this season. Maybe he’s upset with having to split touches with Micah Bernard. Maybe he got sick of Cam Rising calling his own number near the goal line. Maybe he got caught up in Real Housewives of Salt Lake City’s Jen Shah’s legal fiasco. Whatever the case, we have not seen him much or consistently, and it was primed to be the Micah Bernard day until Bernard was nursing an injury himself and it was Jaylon Glover who shouldered the responsibility of being the bell cow back for Utah to the tune of 20-76-1, and if Thomas and Bernard both miss again here, would be a great option at just $5,300 if we get confirmation that he’ll be the guy.

Will Shipley, Clemson ($6,800)

This price is too low for Shipley, who is starting to see traditional workhorse volume and continues to be involved in the passing game. The matchup against Notre Dame is not ideal, but their defense has struggled to contain talented backs and Shipley certainly qualifies. Coming off a 27–172-2 performance against Syracuse, Shipley should be primed for another big game in this one.

Wide Receiver

Xavier Worthy, Texas ($6,400)

The clear top option in the Texas passing game, Worthy has shown instant chemistry with Quinn Ewers, and has the route running ability and durability to be put in situations to make plays all game long. He’s found the end zone in each of his last five games, and while the yardage numbers haven’t been astronomical, there’s plenty of talent here and not much behind him on the depth chart. We should be looking for something along the lines of 6-110-2 from Worthy, which would be an absolute smash at this price.

Arizona WR Trio

We were all over this group last week against USC and will be going right back to the well against Utah. All three play specific roles in this offense — Jacob Cowing ($8,000) is the veteran presence and PPR machine, racking up catches primarily on underneath routes. Dorian Singer ($6,800) is playing out of his mind finishing with 7-141-3 against USC and will probably garner a bit more defensive attention in this one, if only because it would be impossible for him to garner less. True freshman Tetairoa McMillan had a down game by his standards finishing with only 3 catches for 62 yards, but the talent is massive even if Singer hogged all of the TDs. The TDs could be spread more evenly in this one, or they could end up with any one of the three talented WRs. Make sure to spread your exposure to these three out as all of them have tremendous upside.

Michael Mayer, Notre Dame ($6,500)

Mayer’s price has finally risen slightly, although it is still not adequate for his role in the offense. He had a down game last week, no denying that, but went 6-115-1 the week before that, and 11-118-2 against BYU two weeks prior to that game. He sees a ton of volume and is usually fairly efficient against even coverages specifically designed to stop him. He should see plenty of volume once again here as Notre Dame’s running game will likely struggle against a tough Clemson front.

Johnny Wilson, FSU ($6,200)

A behemoth 6-foot-7, 236-pound specimen, Wilson is a matchup nightmare for just about any DB he finds across from him, but Florida State is finally using him the way he was meant to be used, which has amounted to 600-plus yards and 4 TDs so far this season. He gets a middling matchup against Miami, but the talent and skill set should win out here, and the fact that it should be a more competitive game than some the Seminoles have seen in some games recently means Wilson should stay involved throughout.

Thayer Thomas, NC St ($6,200)
Trent Pennix, NC St ($3,600)

There is not a happier position group in the country than the NC State pass catchers with the emergence of MJ Morris. The downgrade from Devin Leary to Jack Chambers was massive and Morris has reinvigorated a previously punchless Wolfpack offense. Thomas is the most expensive of the bunch but also saw massive volume once Morris took over the keys to the offense, finishing with an insane 10-118-2 line that would not have been imaginable with Chambers ineptitude.

If you’re looking for more of a value option, Pennix has missed most of the season with injury, but his physical brand of play was on display against Virginia Tech, and while he finished with just a 3-25-1 line, there’s probably room for his to involvement to grow as he gets his legs under him. If he can get closer to something like 5-75-1, that’s a great game at only a $3,600 DK price.