Bettings

Thursday ended well for us in college football DFS, and we now turn our attention toward Friday’s three-game slate. You can expect lots of coverage for Saturday’s games as well. In this breakdown, I will highlight my top plays at each position while also providing you with a solid core to build around in all formats. Let’s dive in.

 

Vegas Odds

Team Odds Team Odds Total
Virginia +455 Maryland -625 (-15) 47.5
Army +250 UTSA -310 (-7.5) 44.5
Utah State +270 Air Force -340 (-9) 46

Quarterbacks

Taulia Tagovailoa, Maryland ($9.6k DK/$11.2k FD)

We are going to be picking on Virginia’s defense all year long, so Taulia Tagovailoa is an obvious core play on this slate. I’m not exactly thrilled about paying almost $10k for him, but it’s a short slate and the other options are quite ordinary. He’s been crisp (for lack of a better term) when it comes to throwing the football. He is completing almost 70% of his passes for 547 yards/4 TDs. The Cavs gave up 49 points to the Vols and 36 to James Madison. The Terps will be scoring early and often.

Frank Harris, UTSA ($6.1k DK/$10k FD)

This is more of an awareness blurb than it is a recommendation. Harris was cleared by the doctors but has an official GTD designation. Turf toe can be a nagging ailment that causes far more issues than people seem to realize. Harris has a laundry list of records at UTSA but 2023 has gotten off to a lackluster start so far. The $6.1k price tag would usually be a lock and load situation, but I’m not that confident in him right now, especially with a nagging injury.

Zac Larrier, Air Force ($6.5k DK/$9.8k FD)

Two triple-option offenses are on the slate, and we just had one Thursday as well. The Service Academy schools aren’t my favorite for DFS purposes, but there is certainly viability to using their players. As expected, Larrier’s value comes from his ability to use his legs as he has attempted just 6 passes through the first two games. He does have a total of 33 carries though and has racked up 164 yards to go along with 2 scores. Utah State’s rush defense was horrible last year, but so far they’ve only allowed 94.5 YPG on the ground in 2023. That can be deceiving though after playing Iowa and Idaho State. There is a very good chance that the Falcons do a lot of damage on the ground.

Bryson Daily, Army ($6.3k DK/$7.9k FD)

Daily is in a similar situation as Larrier, but he has been far less devastating as a runner. Army put together a brilliant performance against lowly Delaware State but were distinctly awful in week 1 against ULM. Daily will likely have somewhere North of 15 carries and his TD equity is high anytime this team gets into the red zone. While UTSA’s offense hasn’t been great, their defense has been stout, allowing less than 70 YPG on the ground. Not a great matchup for Army so I would tread carefully if considering Daily for your main build.

Running Backs

Kevorian Barnes, UTSA ($6.6k DK/$9.1k FD)

With Harris struggling, the offense has leaned heavily on Barnes and he has responded with back-to-back 100-yard rushing performances. Bell-cow backs are becoming unicorns lately as committee backfields are now commonplace. This is what makes Barnes so appealing because he is one of the few workhorse RBs left and 20-plus touches is inevitable. So far he has rushed for 206 yards on 42 carries while also catching 4 passes for 20 yards.

Roman Hemby, Maryland ($8.5k DK/$9.7k FD)

Colby McDonald and Antwain Littleton are used sparingly while Hemby has a chokehold on the RB1 job. We do have to be cautious with Hemby though as he was often inconsistent throughout the 2022 season. I will admit that his performance of 162 rushing yards against Charlotte was eye-opening though. He also adds value as a pass-catcher out of the backfield and already has 6 catches for 69 yards after producing 33-298-1 last year.

Air Force RBs

Utah State and Army use a plethora of RBs, and each situation offers varying degrees of tilt potential. Air Force will run the football a lot and while they give carries to multiple players, there is a bit of a pecking order developing. Owen Burk has rushed for 112 yards on 24 carries and 2 TDs while John Lee Eldridge has toted the rock 11 times for 91 yards. These two will likely take turns leading the team in touches each game and that’s where our focus will be. Emmanuel Michel and Dylan Carson will also get a few looks but they’re deep GPP looks at best. 

Wide Receivers

Terrell Vaughn, Utah State ($6.6k DK/$9.2k FD)

Vaughn is being heavily featured in the Aggies’ offense and has been peppered with a team-high 28 targets through 2 games. He has an 82% catch rate and 165 yards along with 3 touchdowns. The next closest player in targets is Jalen Royals with 10. Vaughn is the top option at the position, and there will be very few lineups in which I don’t have him in.

Virginia WRs

I don’t feel good about Tony Muskett as a QB at all and think Anthony Colandera should actually be the starter. With Muskett returning, it diminishes my interest in the receivers to a degree but it’s a small slate and we can’t completely fade them either way. Their top two options are cheap and productive, which means they’re firmly in our player pool. Malachi Fields has 12-137-0 on 16 targets while Malik Washington has 9-148-1 on 14 targets. No other receiver on the team has been targeted more than 4 times so the usage is extremely concentrated amongst these two.

Joshua Cephus, UTSA ($6.2k DK/$8.7k FD)

Despite the mediocre start of the Roadrunners passing game, top wideout Joshua Cephus has been fantastic. He leads the team in targets with 23 and has caught 16 passes for 163 yards/1 TD. That target share will remain sky-high as he absorbs most of the usage left behind by Zakhari Franklin. De’Corian Clark played very little in Week 2 as he works his way back from an injury. His imminent return doesn’t scare me away from locking in Cephus though.

Maryland WRs/TEs

We can roll Taulia naked and still wind up optimal since he tends to spread the targets around to his various weapons. Corey Dyches leads the team in targets with 12 and the sure-handed TE has reeled in all of them for 139 yards/1 TD. Unfortunately, his prize has skyrocketed since last week and he is a good-not-great play here. The other options that can be considered for GPP builds are Kaden Prather (6-98-2, 11 targets), Jeshaun Jones (8-102-1, 11 targets), Octavian Smith (7-60-0, 11 targets) and Tai Felton (6-57-0, 9 targets).

Core

Taulia Tagovailoa 
Kevorian Barnes
Terrell Vaughn

PrizePicks Plays