Bettings

Week 8 of the college football season offers a variety of games, some with shootout potential and some that could be lower scoring than a baseball game. We are looking at you, Iowa. I have dug into the various props for this week and have identified two that have serious potential to make it to the window. I will list each of them below along with what makes them so favorable. Let’s take a look.

 

Brady Cook Over 282.5 Passing Yards

(South Carolina vs Missouri)
(-135, DraftKings Sportsbook)

I was really hoping the matchup between South Carolina and Missouri was going to be on the DraftKings DFS slate because I’m expecting it to be an entertaining shootout. Unfortunately, it didn’t make the cut on DK, but it is available over on FanDuel. With that being said, I’m going to be attacking the various props for this game, and it starts with Missouri signal-caller, Brady Cook.

The Gamecocks defense has been a pass funnel all season long and is giving up 321.7 passing yards per game to their opponents. They recently made Florida QB Graham Mertz, a player who habitually struggled to throw for even 150 yards a game while at Wisconsin, look like Joe Montana. Mertz threw for 423 yards and 3 touchdowns against this South Carolina secondary.

Cook has shown masterful control of the Tigers offense this year and has a truly special connection with future NFL draft pick, Luther Burden. Cook has thrown for 340+ passing yards in four of his last five games and hasn’t attempted fewer than 29 passes since Week 2.

There are four different receivers on this team with 250+ receiving yards, so if a team decides to contain Burden, the passing attack won’t suddenly cease to function. While Burden (56-805-5) has been a star, we can’t ignore the contributions of Theo Wease (34-400-5), Mookie Cooper (22-302-0) and Marquis Johnson (9-268-3).

We are slamming the over with confidence this weekend.

Rashod Owens 60+ Alternate Receiving Yards

(Oklahoma State vs West Virginia)
(+115, DraftKings Sportsbook)

With De’Zhaun Stribling out for the season, that has opened the door for Rashod Owens to step into a bigger role for this Oklahoma State passing attack. Alan Bowman locked onto Owens early and often, which led to 9 catches for 112 yards on 12 targets.

Stribling went down in Week 6 against Kansas State, and Owens has clearly been the main benefactor. He was targeted seven times in Week 6 and now has a total of 19 in the past two games alone. 

Owens has gone from a complete non-factor to producing 75+ receiving yards in back-to-back games, and there is no reason to think that won’t continue this weekend against the Mountaineers.

West Virginia’s rush defense has been fairly stout this year, but their secondary has been much less effective. This has led to their opponents exploiting this deficiency, and it’s basically turned West Virginia’s defense into a pass funnel, much like South Carolina.

Bowman is a well traveled, journeyman quarterback, but he is a more than capable passer, which he showed last week by throwing for over 330 yards. Bowman is unspectacular but effective and seems to favor Owens as a primary option. With his rise in the pecking order, and a favorable matchup, Owens should easily eclipse this number.