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Last week was not a good week for the article, as the spots we played didn’t go as planned. Unfortunately, it brings the record closer to .500, but we press on. The end of the regular season presents plenty of opportunities to fade teams ready to go into the offseason and those who are looking forward to next week’s rivalry matchup. Time to bounce back and look for some winners.

Record: 24-23

All odds are per DraftKings Sportsbook.

SMU at Memphis

Noon ET
Memphis +8

The total in this game has gone down, and I’m not exactly sure why. SMU’s defense has put up tremendous numbers as a group, but a lot of that has come against weaker offenses. A lot of teams can hold Louisiana Tech, Charlotte, East Carolina, Temple and Tulsa to a combined 50 points. They struggled a bit at Rice with the Owls scoring 31 while TCU put up 34 on them at home. The Tigers have scored 40 or more in four straight and are in tremendous form. They need to score all those points because the Memphis defense is abysmal. Both of these teams are in the top 50 when it comes to seconds per play on offense. Last year this game was 34-31 at SMU. I think we could see something like that here.

The Pick

Over 64

Coastal Carolina at Army

Noon ET
Coastal Carolina -3.5

This game means absolutely nothing to the Chanticleers, who are extremely happy the NCAA decided to deny JMU’s waiver. This means that Coastal can clinch a Sun Belt title berth with a win over James Madison next week at home. They are already bowl eligible so that doesn’t even come into play either. Army has been a tough wager this season, although they are currently on a two-game win streak and need two wins in their final two games for an opportunity to play in a bowl. Last year these two teams played a 38-28 game in Conway, so revenge is also on the minds of the Black Knights. Wind gusts are expected so that should even things up a little bit as well. Give me the underdog.

The Pick

Army +3.5

East Carolina at Navy

Noon ET
Navy -2.5

We’ve got close to the same situation as above here with East Carolina whose motivation should be questioned. The Pirates are 2-8 and have no bowl game in their future. They are coming off a very nice win over Florida Atlantic, but what’s their motivation to go through a week of tough practices for the triple option. Navy is 4-5, so two more wins in their last three games gets them bowl eligibility. They won at ECU last year as a 16-point underdog and are coming off a 31-6 win over UAB last week. East Carolina has one of the worst offenses in the country so I don’t think they can take advantage of Navy’s mediocre defense. Give me the home team’s moneyline here as I don’t want to have to worry about the spread.

The Pick

Navy -135 ML

Appalachian State at James Madison

2 p.m. ET
James Madison -8.5

I knew I wanted to get involved with this game the moment the NCAA did the wrong thing and denied James Madison the waiver. The Dukes are the best G5 team in the nation, and I’m going to guess that their final home game of the season will show everyone that is the case. History has not been kind to JMU when College Gameday is on campus as they lost to Richmond last time a few years ago. JMU has one of the best rushing offenses in the country and that’s App State’s biggest weakness. They’ve given up 40 at UNC and Louisiana Monroe as well as 28 points at Old Dominion. This is not my biggest bet on the board because I guess there’s the small chance they are hungover and distracted, but I think quite the opposite will happen and JMU rolls.

The Pick

JMU Over 31.5 points (-130)

Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State

2 p.m. ET
Jacksonville State -8.5

Notice a pattern to the picks so far? I’m heavily leaning into the motivation factor, and this contest isn’t any different. Jacksonville State is playing their final home game of the season and knows that there won’t be a bowl in their future. The Gamecocks are 7-3 overall and have been absolutely stellar on offense scoring 35 or more four times. Even better is that they are coming off a bye week giving them two weeks to add wrinkles and things to the offense. Louisiana Tech is allowing 206.5 yards per game on the ground and has no bowl in their future. Their defense has allowed 42 and 56 the last two weeks and has given up 35 or more three other times as well. This is the Bulldogs’ last game of a miserable season because they have their bye next week. Give me the more motivated bunch on an alt line here.

The Pick

Jacksonville State over 34.5 points (+130)