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We had a fairly solid day Tuesday as we went 2-1 on featured plays for college football’s bowl season. The Texas State total soared, while Minnesota took care of business late. Unfortunately, UNLV didn’t cover, but we got our money in with the best of it as the line moved to Kansas -7.5 by lock due to murmurs of additional players being out for the Jayhawks. That didn’t happen and they pulled away in the fourth quarter.

We have three more bets for Wednesday’s bowl games, so let’s get right into it.

Duke’s Mayo Bowl

North Carolina vs. West Virginia

West Virginia -6, O/U 60

This sets up favorably for West Virginia as a team with younger pieces who want to end the year with a victory. On the other side, the Tar Heels finished the year out four of their last six games. They’ll also be without Drake Maye, Tez Walker and a myriad of other solid contributors on offense. I find it hard to believe the Heels make this competitive and could even see a lack of effort at times which is what we saw during the blowout loss that Syracuse suffered a few weeks back.

I’m a huge fan of this West Virginia squad and think they’re primed to become a go-to team for fantasy purposes in 2024. Garrett Greene threw for over 2,100 yards while rushing for 708 and scoring a total of 28 touchdowns (15 passing/13 rushing). The dual threat will be too much for the Heels. CJ Donaldson is out but breakout star Jahiem White is more than capable of handling the primary RB duties. He rushed for 130-plus yards in three of his last four games. The Heels gave up over 160 YPG on the ground to their opponents and we could see some serious Tecmo Bowl scoring for the Mountaineers. Taking the spread and likely sprinkling some on the West Virginia team total as well.

Best Bet

West Virginia -6 (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Holiday Bowl

Louisville vs. USC

Louisville -6.5, O/U 58

USC’s defense has been awful all year long, as the supposedly revamped group just failed to live up to expectations. The Trojans offense remained stellar, but they will be without Caleb Williams along with several of their regular pass-catching options. USC has a plethora of talent at every position though, so they’ve still got plenty of firepower to put points on the board.

However, the Cardinals defense gave up less than 20 PPG this year and has most of that group still intact for the bowl game. I would envision the Trojans coaching staff allowing new starting QB Miller Moss to throw the ball early and often today but inevitably there are going to be some costly mistakes made. He played in parts of just three games this season and this is a spot where jitters could honestly play a factor. Truthfully, this is a great spot for the Trojans to see what they have in youngsters like Ja’Kobi Lane and Duce Robinson while enabling Moss to build chemistry with both.

Louisville will be without two of their impact players as well with Jamari Thrash and Jawhar Jordan sitting out. Isaac Guerendo racked up 649 rushing yards this season as the 1B option in the backfield and scored 8 times. He also caught 17 passes for 192 yards so there is versatility to his game that should give the Trojans listless defense plenty of problems. Ultimately, I believe the Cards control this game from start to finish. Will there be highlight-worthy plays from the Trojans? Absolutely, but it’s a stretch to think they will play a complete game without Caleb Williams against an opportunistic Louisville defense.

Best Bet

Louisville -6.5 (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Texas Bowl

Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State -3.5, O/U 54

The Aggies are a program in transition that has lost a ton of players to the portal and moving on from the expensive Jimbo Fisher era. The Cowboys on the other hand got the fantastic news of all-world RB Ollie Gordon returning for 2024 and they’ll surely be riding him heavily in tonight’s game.

The Cowboys defense has been putrid all year long and has failed to slow down opponents with any kind of consistency. The Aggies defense was full of impact players with pedigree, but the portal has decimated both sides of the ball and they don’t look like the same group at all. With that said, I’m expecting both offenses to move the ball at will and that will lead to plenty of scoring.

Jaylen Henderson is starting at QB for the Aggies. He looked like the real deal in games against LSU and Mississippi State. He has thrown for 704 yards and 6 TDs to just 2 INTs in three games while also rushing for 104 yards/2 scores. The Cowboys rush defense is especially bad, and Henderson should thrive with his scrambling ability. This 54 total is a soft number, and we are going to slam the over with confidence.

Best Bet

Over 54 Total Points (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)