Moves to Make Now in Dynasty Fantasy Football (6/7)

It’s June! We’re just one month away from the Scott Fish Bowl and less than two months from the NFL preseason. Now’s as good a time as any for our weekly look at dynasty moves to make.

As a reminder, buying doesn’t mean getting a player for Tank Bigsby and a three-piece suit from your local thrift store. Selling doesn’t mean you must rid your rosters of said player for 10 cents on the dollar. When players are improperly valued, take advantage.

Dynasty Moves to Make Now: Buys

Devin Singletary, RB, New York Giants

We all know the Giants are devoid of elite offensive weapons outside of (potentially) Malik Nabers, but as my good friend LaQuan Jones likes to say, “Follow the Volume.” Devin Singeltary is in line for a hefty workload thanks to a minimal threat to his touches behind him — fifth-rounders Eric Gray and Tyrone Tracy Jr. and 2022 undrafted free agent Jashaun Corbin. Playing under Giants head coach Brian Daboll from 2019 to 2021, Singletary is well-versed and comfortable in the offense despite changing teams for the second time in as many seasons. He’s averaged 35 catches a year and is coming off three straight seasons of over 800 rushing yards, despite 2023 being his first with over 200 rushing attempts. Singletary isn’t going to contend for a rushing title or sniff the top 10 in fantasy. Still, he’ll be a rock-solid RB2 that nobody seems to want. 

Players I’d be willing to trade for Singletary 1 for 1: Gus Edwards, Tyler Lockett, Austin Ekeler

Isaiah Likely, TE, Baltimore Ravens

A quick peek at Isaiah Likely’s career stats will certainly not have you verklempt. He’s averaged 33 catches, 392 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns through two seasons, finishing under six PPR points per game in each. But when given the opportunity (when Mark Andrews has missed time), Likely has produced, as you can see in the FTN Splits Tool:

Likely’s stats increase across the board in 10 career games without Andrews in the lineup. His points per game jumped by eight, from 4.4 to 12.4 in PPR, which would be a top-five tight-end finish in three of the past five seasons. After Andrews fractured his fibula Week 11 against the Bengals, Likely assumed the starting role and flourished. He saw a 17.1% target share and finished the stretch as the TE5 with 14.4 PPR points per game. Likely has top-five upside if Andrews were to miss time. Andrews’ contract only runs through the 2025 season, and at just 24 years old, there’s plenty of long-term dynasty appeal for Likely.

Players I’d be willing to trade for Likely 1 for 1: Michael Mayer, Gabe Davis, Mike Williams 

Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals

You can still “buy the dip,” even if it’s just an itty-bitty dip. An elite young quarterback who checks almost all the boxes you want (fantasy-friendly offense, elite weapons, stable future) doesn’t become acquirable often. The buy window for Joe Burrow has cracked open ever so slightly. He won’t be cheap, but Burrow is cheaper than he should be. Starting the season slow due to a nagging calf injury and ending it with a torn wrist ligament led to a career-worst statistical season for Burrow. I expect Joe Shiesty to return to form in 2024 and once again be untouchable in fantasy this time next year.

Players, I’d be willing to trade for Burrow 1 for 1: Jordan Love, Justin Herbert, Anthony Richardson

Dynasty Moves to Make Now: Sells

Tank Dell, WR, Houston Texans

There’s always at least one player included in my “Dynasty Moves to Make” articles that I think, “Yeah, that’s the one that’s going to piss everyone off.” This week, it’s Tank Dell. While he had a great rookie season cut short due to injury (WR19 in points per game), Dell is being seriously overvalued. He was tied with Bobby Trees Robert Woods for third in target share at 13.3%, and there will be fewer targets to go around after the Texans’ offseason addition of Stefon Diggs. Dell is a solid WR2 being valued like a borderline WR1. Trade him away while he’s overvalued, and trade for him next offseason when his value is suppressed. Or, as I like to call it, the ole “Texas Two-Step” (I’ve never said that in my life).

Players I’d be willing to trade Dell for 1 for 1: DK Metcalf, DJ Moore, Tee Higgins

Raheem Mostert, RB, Miami Dolphins

Coming into last season, Raheem Mostert’s career stat line through eight seasons read 2,501 rushing yards, 67 catches, 536 receiving yards, and 19 total touchdowns. He rushed for over 1,000 yards for the first time in his career and scored 21 touchdowns, including awhopping 18 on the ground. His league-winning, historic season was nothing short of a miracle, especially at 31 years old with an injury-riddled past. The Dolphins ranked second and sixth in offensive DVOA over the past two seasons and will again field one of the NFL’s premier offenses. But Mostert is one of the few pieces of this offense I want to rid my team of. Age, injury history, and an already crowded backfield with De’Von Achane got even more so with the Dolphins drafting Jaylen Wright out of Tennessee. His value has only one direction to go, and it’s not up.

Players I’d be willing to trade Mostert for 1 for 1: Zach Charbonnet, Zamir White, Jahan Dotson, Jameson Williams

Treylon Burks, WR, Tennessee Titans

Treylon Burks has been a colossal bust as the heir apparent to A.J. Brown. No matter how much potential a player has, sometimes you have to listen to what the teams tell you, whether with their moves or their mouths. The Titans signed Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd after adding DeAndre Hopkins last offseason. New Titans head coach Brian Callahan recently said Burks will have to contribute on special teams to make the game-day roster because he’s not a starter. Generally, I’m not particularly eager to sell low in fantasy football. But in some instances, it’s the move to make. Use whatever miniscule value his name and first-round draft capital carry to get something, anything for him and move on. 

Players I’d be willing to trade Burks for 1 for 1: Isaiah Likely, J.K. Dobbins, Wan’Dale Robinson