Prellezo’s picks: DFS plays for the FireKeepers Casino 400

NASCAR fans get a big weekend, with Saturday and Sunday races to get excited about. To start things off, I’m going to look at the top DFS plays for Saturday’s FireKeepers Casino 400. Given there is still no practice, I’m relying a ton on track history, recent speeds since the restart, the drivers who are in good form and place differential. 

My plan is to focus on the drivers with the highest exposure in my 10 lineups. If you haven’t done so, please take a look at the “how to build” NASCAR lineups article (NASCAR Building 101) . We also have our projections and optimizer (FTN NASCAR Optimizer)!

In the last five races at this track, the best finishers have been Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. The most laps led in the last five years have been Logano (though I plan to have limited exposure), Harvick, Keselowski and Truex. 

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• Value locks this week — pick 1-2 per lineup
  • Ty Dillon
  • Corey LaJoie
  • Ryan Preece — he finally finished a race
  • Daniel Suárez
• Point differential plays to lock (after the above value plays)
  • Clint Bowyer
  • Tyler Reddick
  • Matt DiBenedetto

I will have the above drivers in a good chunk of my main lineups. My favorite plays are as follows:

• Kevin Harvick — It seems like we lock in Harvick every week. His price will be only reason I have less of him, but I love the four drivers below a little more.
• Martin Truex Jr., Brad Keselowski, Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin — Will have some combination three of these four drivers and Harvick. Their track history, current green flag speed, racing during restart, etc., all scream to lock them in.
• One or two of the value guys above.
• Favorite mid- to upper-tier guys — Erik Jones, Matt DiBenedetto, Chris Bell, William Byron (in that order)

I’ll have other drivers I’ll use in one-offs, but these are my main plays.