Week 22 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards

Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 90.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see just 127.5 offensive plays called: the fewest among all games this week.
In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.9 carries.
When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the significance it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the San Francisco 49ers profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL last year.
Christian McCaffrey’s 95.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a noteable boost in his running proficiency over last year’s 68.0 rate.
Christian McCaffrey’s 5.5 adjusted yards per carry this season marks a noteable gain in his running ability over last season’s 4.8 figure.

Cons

The 49ers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.1 plays per game.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop.
Christian McCaffrey’s 83.6% Snap% this year illustrates a remarkable progression in his offensive utilization over last year’s 71.5% rate.

Projection

THE BLITZ
84
Rushing Yards