Week 20 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jordan Love

Jordan LovePassing Yards

Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 255.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 255.5 (-115) after it opened @ 248.5 (-115).

Pros

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Packers are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.3 plays per game.
This year, the formidable San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a mere 6.9 yards.
This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a paltry 4.3 YAC.
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
236
Passing Yards