NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 20
Ravens vs. Texans
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-135/+105).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (+105) after it opened @ 35.5 (-115).
Pros
- This week’s line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Texans, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs.
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are forecasted by the projection model to call 67.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
- Opposing teams have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: most in the league.
- Dalton Schultz’s 71.7% Snap% this year shows an impressive decrease in his offensive utilization over last year’s 83.6% figure.
- In this game, Dalton Schultz is expected by the projections to land in the 82nd percentile among TEs with 5.7 targets.
Cons
- Dalton Schultz grades out as one of the bottom tight ends in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
- This year, the strong Ravens defense has conceded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a measly 7.1 yards.
- The Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.23 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in football.
- The Ravens safeties profile as the best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
34
Receiving Yards
34
Receiving Yards
