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Week 19 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jayden Reed from EV Insight

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Jayden Reed

Jayden ReedReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 19

Cowboys vs. Packers

Right now, Jayden Reed’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-110).

Pros

  • This week’s line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Packers, who are huge -7-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 64.5% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • In this week’s game, Jayden Reed is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 79th percentile among wideouts with 7.0 targets.
Cons

  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are anticipated by the projection model to run just 63.6 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Packers have run the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.8 plays per game.

Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards

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