Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight

James ConnerRushing Yards

Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-125/-105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 71.5 (-125) after it opened @ 69.5 (-120).

Pros

Right now, the 5th-most run-oriented team in football (42.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.
The leading projections forecast James Conner to total 15.5 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.
James Conner has been given 56.8% of his team’s carries this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
James Conner’s 75.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a material growth in his running prowess over last year’s 61.0 mark.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (139 per game) vs. the Seahawks defense this year.

Cons

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs in this week’s contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
The Arizona O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards