Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rachaad White from EV Insight

Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards

Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (+106/-145).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-145) after it opened @ 49.5 (-113).

Pros

The Buccaneers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The projections expect Rachaad White to total 14.1 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
After comprising 33.7% of his team’s carries last season, Rachaad White has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, currently comprising 56.2%.
Rachaad White has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).
The Buffalo Bills defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 5.22 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run on 38.6% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 56.3 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards