Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Broncos vs. Packers
Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-106/-122).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-106) after it opened @ 48.5 (-113).
Pros
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to run on 45.2% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.
- Among all running backs, Javonte Williams ranks in the 82nd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 47.0% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.
- This year, the weak Packers run defense has conceded a colossal 146.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 4th-most in the NFL.
- The Packers defensive ends grade out as the 6th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Broncos this year (just 50.7 per game on average).
Projection
THE BLITZ
46
Rushing Yards
46
Rushing Yards
