NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
A.J. DillonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Raiders vs. Packers
Right now, A.J. Dillon’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 25.5 (-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast A.J. Dillon to accrue 13.4 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- After making up 42.2% of his offense’s carries last season, A.J. Dillon has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, currently taking on 52.7%.
- The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL last year at opening holes for rushers.
- The opposing side have rushed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (143 per game) vs. the Raiders defense this year.
Cons
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to run on 36.1% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- The projections expect the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Packers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.0 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- A.J. Dillon’s 28.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a a meaningful decline in his rushing ability over last season’s 45.0 figure.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Rushing Yards
56
Rushing Yards
