Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mark Andrews from EV Insight

Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards

Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-125/-105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-125) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).

Pros

The Ravens are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Mark Andrews has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (94.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (84.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accrue 8.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews has posted far fewer air yards this year (79.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
Mark Andrews has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (58.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) versus TEs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards