Best MLB Bets Today – Free (Thursday 10/17)
MLB Dream
Caesars Sportsbook recently acquired William Hill, and their experience has improved at least tenfold since. William Hill was known for their speed to markets on prop betting and wide variety of options. They have great odds boosts every day. If you are looking for a new book or looking for a reason to move some of your action to Caesars, there certainly are plenty of them.
Every week, I’m bringing you three of my favorite player props currently available on Caesars Sportsbook.
Last week we went 2-1, bringing our season record to 5-4:
- W — Austin Ekeler Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
- W — Derek Carr Over 31.5 Pass Attempts
- L — Jalen Hurts Over 52.5 Rushing Yards
Here are three of my favorite props on Caesars Sportsbook for Week 4:
Amari Cooper dominates at home
Over 61.5 receiving yards, -115
In his career with Dak Prescott, Amari Cooper has dominated at home. In fact, when Prescott has thrown the ball 35 or more times at home, Cooper is averaging an absurd 138 yards per game since 2019. The Cowboys offense is lethal, but it has leaned on the run game the last two weeks as both the Chargers and Eagles play a two-high shell, daring opponents to run. The Panthers on the other hand are the league’s best run defense, leading the league in adjusted line yards against. In week one the Cowboys played the Tampa Buccaneers, who were the No. 1 team in adjusted line yards in 2020 and threw the ball 76% of the time. Expect the Cowboys to air it out and Cooper to be heavily involved.
The Eagles will dare the Chiefs to win with Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Over 57.5 rushing yards, -115
The Cowboys played the Chargers and Eagles in back-to-back games and showed that you can easily exploit both teams on the ground as they sit back in a two-high shell. Now the Chiefs will do the same. After rushing for a season-high 100 yards against the Chargers, Clyde Edwards-Helaire takes on a Eagles team that has allowed 105 rush attempts against them this season, the most in all of football. Edwards-Helaire has also gotten better every week this season. From Derek Brown’s game-by-game breakdown, “Edwards-Helaire’s yards after contact per attempt have improved weekly from 1.29 to 1.62 to 3.41 last week.”
Jaylen Waddle continues to get volume versus the Colts
Over 3.5 receptions, -150
Last week, Jaylen Waddle became the first receiver in NFL history to fail to break 60 receiving yards when catching 12 or more passes. He caught 12 of his 13 targets, finishing with 58 yards on the day. We have seen Waddle’s targets increase for three straight games from 5 to 8 to 13, catching four or more passes in every game. With Jacoby Brissett under center, we have seen Waddle’s volume explode. While in fantasy we want those down field shots, when looking for safe catches his current role dictates this line should be 4.5 or 5.5 — 3.5 is stealing.
