NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Last week looked like it could have been great for my second entry until that Mac Jones safety resulted in the Patriots losing against the spread. Currently, my first entry is 14-15-1 and in 3,113st place, more or less in the middle of the pack. My second entry is 18-10-2 and in 312th place, instead of 133rd had that safety not happened.
There’s still a lot of season left to go, but I’m going to continue mainly focusing on half points with my first entry and taking more swings with it, whereas I’ll just bet the better teams and lines with the second entry.
Here are some of the picks I’m looking at taking this week:
Week 7 Circa Millions Picks
Minnesota Vikings +7
This is one of my favorite lines this week. First, I’m seeing the neutral line for this game at +6.5, so that’s a pretty important half point. First, the Vikings are just not that bad this year, as noted in our DVOA columns. Yes, I understand the 49ers currently rank at the top, but I personally think last week’s defeat at the hands of PJ Walker is more indicative that the 49ers aren’t the guaranteed behemoth they are still considered. Getting a full touchdown at home seems like a good bet with the Vikings, even if they are without Justin Jefferson.
New England Patriots +8.5
The Patriots continue to be the most hated team in the NFL. The contrarian in me just can’t help but take 8.5 points at home against the beloved Bills.
Chicago Bears +3
This is another bet I really like. First, the neutral line is generally 2.5 now, which is a very significant half point. This is a duel of the backup quarterbacks, and everyone just automatically thinks Tyson Bagent isn’t any good, when the truth is we really have no clue how he will perform. He could be the next Brock Purdy, or he could be the next Nathan Peterman – it’s just not clear.
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
This line implies the Dolphins are a slightly better team than the Eagles. I don’t think I’m quite on that train yet. I like the Eagles to bounce back after a disappointing loss. When looking at this line on sportsbooks, generally the sharper books make you lay more juice with the Eagles as well, indicating they’re slightly more likely to cover than not.
