MLB Prop Tracker (September 4)

Each day, we will try and highlight or outline our favorite prop bets of the day over at FTN Network. 

Matthew Boyd, Detroit Tigers

Over 0.5 home runs allowed (-164, DraftKings Sportsbook)

I know, this feels too good to be true. Is it? Great American Ball Park has played to be a hitter’s haven, ranking third in home run factor this season. Over the last month, they lead major league baseball with 47 home runs and a .220 ISO. And Matthew Boyd is prone to the dinger — while he’s vastly improved, he has struggled away from Tiger Stadium, logging a 5.00 ERA and 1.33 HR/9 this year.

Germán Márquez, Colorado Rockies

O5.5 hits allowed (-115, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Something weird is going on with Germán Márquez. The righty has been brilliant at home, so this isn’t some kind of bizarre anti-Coors Field thing. The issue is that he’s just been bad recently. Like really bad. In the last month, Marquez has posted a 6.75 ERA in 25 1/3 innings, and he’s allowed six or more hits in six of his last eight starts.

Tyler Mahle, Cincinnati Reds

O4.5 strikeouts (-135, FanDuel Sportsbook)

This feels like a mispriced line, if we are being totally honest. Tyler Mahle has struck out a pile of hitters this year, and the Tigers have no problem swinging and missing. Over the last month, they’ve recorded a 23.8% strikeout rate (sixth worst). Jump on this before it rises too much.

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