NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
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This daily article will focus on daily value plays from SuperDraft’s exclusive Multiplier game mode. By eliminating the traditional salary cap structure and providing a points multiplier for every player on the slate, there is almost limitless flexibility when building lineups on SuperDraft. You can load up on all the studs, but their point multipliers will be low. You can balance those plays out with some long shots that could score up to 2x their fantasy points to vault you to the top of the leaderboards.
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With nine games on Tuesday’s slate, let’s get into some of the multiplier plays over on SuperDraft.
Guard
James Harden, Brooklyn Nets (1x score multiplier) – I’m starting to think that this COVID-19 thing is an issue. Jokes aside, the Nets are the most recent team to report a slew of new additions (LaMarcus Aldridge, DeAndre Bembry, Jevon Carter and James Johnson) to the health and safety protocols, and on top of that Kevin Durant is also listed questionable with right ankle soreness. Harden hasn’t quite carried the same elite usage and production from his MVP-caliber days in Houston over to his first season and a half with Brooklyn, but if Durant sits you likely shouldn’t have a lineup without him. Without Durant on the court this season, Harden’s usage increases from 28.1% to 34.8% and it’s a sky-high 36.5% if you also remove LaMarcus Aldridge and Joe Harris. With Carter and Bembry also sidelined, Harden should play 40-plus minutes, (all of them as the primary ball handler) in this offense as long as this game remains in the balance. Even if Durant ends up playing, Harden is a priority for me on this short slate.
Alec Burks, New York Knicks (1.45x) – The Nets aren’t the only team on this three gamer that are having issues with COVID-19. New York will be without RJ Barrett, Obi Toppin and rookie Quentin Grimes against the Warriors, shrinking an already condensed rotation. Barrett and Toppin listed were out last game, and Grimes played 40 minutes while Burks was out dealing with a personal issue. With Burks expected back Tuesday, it’s not crazy to think he slides right into Grimes’ 40-minute role against Golden State here. Burks has been shooting poorly of late, highlighted by an 0-7 performance against Toronto in his last game. But there’s no reason for us to not expect him to regress positively in the near future toward his season average of being a 41.5% shooter from beyond the three-point arc. You can also look to some of Burks’ backcourt teammates at elevated multipliers, such as Immanuel Quickley (1.75x) if you’re running multiple lineups, but the converted wing now tasked with point guard duties for the Knicks is my favorite target at the guard position on SuperDraft Tuesday.
Forward
Pascal Siakam, Toronto Raptors (1.3x) – Another shorthanded team on this slate, the Raptors are missing multiple rotation pieces due to injuries and the health and safety protocols. Toronto took care of the Kings Monday in blowout fashion, keeping the minutes down for their main contributors. Siakam himself didn’t have to see the floor in the fourth quarter on Monday and should be relatively fresh for this matchup with Brooklyn. With Khem Birch, OG Anunoby and Precious Achiwua out for the foreseeable future, and Delano Banton now joining them on the sidelines with a non-COVID-19 illness, Siakam should see extended minutes at center here. Nick Nurse famously runs one of the tightest rotations in the NBA and it won’t be surprising to see Siakam touch the 40-minute threshold here if the game remains close (currently BKN -5 at home). You could also consider Chris Boucher at his elevated multiplier, but Siakam stands out as the usage leader for Toronto with all the above names sidelined.
Kevin Knox, New York Knicks (2x) – Three games and a COVID surge have led us to this disgusting paragraph. Yes, you read that right: Kevin Knox is on my list of SuperDraft plays for Tuesday. But let’s talk this through before we rush to put him into lineups. The Warriors are currently 5-point road favorites in the Garden, and if the game stays close, I don’t think Knox sees the same 28-minute output he got last game. He also shot 15 times in his 28-minutes, a rate that I don’t think keeps up over a larger sample. However, if we think this game blows out, which is a definite possibility (Golden State averages an 11.7-point margin of victory) then we could see Knox get near that 30-minute threshold. At the ceiling 2x multiplier, there are worse ways we can go on this short slate. As long as you are only using Knox in GPPs and understand the volatility that will come with rostering him, I think it’s an interesting way to get different with how chalky this slate could turn out if Durant and Deandre Ayton both sit.
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Center
Deandre Ayton, Phoenix Suns (1.3x) – Speaking of Ayton, let’s talk Suns frontcourt. Ayton has sat out the last two Phoenix games (and a Sunday practice) with a non-COVID-19 illness. As of this writing there are no updates on his status for Tuesday’s game, but I think it’s acceptable to click his name in as long as you’re around to swap if he does miss his third straight game. The Suns and Blazers will tip off 2.5 hours after the other two games on this slate, but given the options at center in the late-night hammer, Ayton seems like a safe option. First, if Ayton does play, he should be a solid low-rostered play at a thin center position. Monty Williams has been giving Ayton 34-36 minutes in close games this season and the Suns are currently 1.5-point road favorites. But if Ayton continues to sit, we have a pair of acceptable pivots. Jusuf Nurkic sits at 1.35x on the other side of this game, and his matchup improves slightly if Ayton sits and he gets to go to work against JaVale McGee. Nurkic is a fine pivot, but I’d prefer to roster McGee himself at 1.7x in the case of Ayton sitting. He’s started the last two games without Ayton and already had some success against Portland this season. McGee has always been an amazing fantasy asset, but lacked the consistent minutes or role needed to become a household name. With Frank Kaminsky and Jalen Smith also out, McGee is a smash play if Ayton sits, and the main reason I like rostering Ayton and then paying attention to news on his status.
