Best NBA Bets Today – Sunday, May 4, 2025

Here are the best NBA bets today for Sunday, May 4, 2025. FTN is home to the tools, research, models, data, and experts you need to become a smarter sports bettor.

Here are FTN’s best NBA bets for today. To see more picks from our team, check out our bet tracker.

NBA Best Bets Today (May 4, 2025)

Draymond Green Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

-133, Caesars

Bet by Sam Choudhury

Draymond Green has 20 or fewer points, rebounds and assists in 39 out of 75 (52%) games including each of the last seven, averaging 8.8 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. Against Houston, Green has failed to exceed 20 points, rebounds and assists in each of the last seven games, including all six in the postseason, averaging 6.0 points on 6.6 shots, 5.1 rebounds on 6.6 chances on 11.1 chances, and 3.1 assists on 8.3 potential assists. The Rockets allow the ninth-fewest points, ninth-fewest rebounds, sixth-fewest assists and ninth-fewest points plus rebounds plus assists to opposing power forwards.

Pascal Siakam Under 7.5 Rebounds

-135. Bet365

Bet by Sam Choudhury

Pascal Siakam has seven or fewer rebounds in 52 out of 83 (62.7%) games, averaging 6.9 rebounds per game. He’s been significantly worse with Aaron Nesmith and T.J. McConnell both active, failing to exceed seven rebounds in 32 out of 46 (69.6%) games, averaging 6.4 rebounds per game. Siakam’s rebound rate has also taken a hit this postseason, grabbing more than seven boards just once in five (20%) games, averaging 6.0 rebounds on 10.6 chances in Round 1.

Obi Toppin Under 3.5 Rebounds

-150, Fanatics

Bet by Sam Choudhury

Obi Toppin has three or fewer rebounds in 45 out of 84 (53.6%) games, including each of the last six, averaging 3.9 per game. He’s been even worse with Myles Turner and Aaron Nesmith both active, failing to exceed three rebounds in 26 out of 44 (59.1%) games overall, including each of the last six, and 14 out of 20 (70.0%) games on the road, averaging 3.3 rebounds per game and 3.1 rebounds outside of Indiana. His minutes have been significantly cut this postseason, grabbing no more than three rebounds in all five games, averaging 1.6 rebounds on 4.0 chances. Although Cleveland allows the third-most rebounds to opposing power forwards. Toppin has cleared his 3.5 rebounds prop only once in the last five head-to-head meetings, even with a normal allotment of minutes in the regular season, averaging 2.8 rebounds on 4.6 chances during that span.

More NBA Picks in FTN’s Bet Tracker

See more NBA bets today in FTN’s bet tracker.

(Psst … we also released a 2025 Kentucky Derby Betting guide – free!)

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