Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Christmas offers us one of the most unique NFL slates I can ever remember in DFS, let alone NFL DFS. Why? Because we have the exact same four teams playing that we had this past Saturday. We need to take advantage of this by studying Saturday’s slate, but we also have to be careful with how we do that — there are lessons to be learned, but we also don’t want to overreact to a one-slate sample. Let’s start with a look at the winning lineup from the $100 SE (277 entrants):
A lot of my priors on this slate were confirmed by this lineup, starting with the fact that it was low scoring. It took fewer than 160 points to win, and this lineup was over 10 points ahead of the second-best lineup in the contest. The low-scoring environment is predictable, not just because there are only four offenses, but because all four defenses are great. This means a few things:
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