Same Game Parlay — Week 16 Saturday Game, Steelers @ Ravens

Saturday brings us a special NFL slate featuring two games. The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Houston Texans and the Pittsburgh Steelers will travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens. The Ravens and Steelers matchup will be big for the AFC North crown, so well focus on that game for the parlay.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson 40+ Rushing Yards

Jackson has exceeded 40 rushing yards in consecutive games and 11 out of 14 this season. He’s cleared 40 rushing yards in three straight games against the Steelers, averaging 48 per game. Per FTN’s StatsHub, the Steelers have allowed the eighth-most yards via designed QB runs (145) and the sixth-highest yards per carry (5.6). Jackson leads the NFL in yards from designed runs (403) and averages the seventh-highest yards per carry (5.8).

Derrick Henry 60+ Rushing Yards

Henry has exceeded 60 rushing yards in 13 of 14 games this season, averaging 105 per game. He’s cleared at least 60 rushing yards in two straight games against the Steelers, averaging 70 per game. Henry is averaging 18.4 carries per game and 5.8 yards per carry.

Mark Andrews 25+ Receiving Yards

Andrews has exceeded 25 receiving yards in nine of 14 games, averaging 36 per game. Per StatsHub, Andrews ranks third among Ravens receivers in target share (12.4%), route participation (67.9%) and snap share (56.4%). Andrews has cleared at least 25 receiving yards in four of the last six head-to-head meeting against the Steelers, averaging 56 per game.

Pat Freiermuth 25+ Receiving Yards

CLEVELAND, OH - OCTOBER 31: Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth (88) celebrates after scoring the go-ahead touchdown on a 2-yard pass during the fourth quarter of the National Football League game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns on October 31, 2021, at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, OH. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire) — CLEVELAND, OH – OCTOBER 31: Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth (88) celebrates after scoring the go-ahead touchdown on a 2-yard pass during the fourth quarter of the National Football League game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns on October 31, 2021, at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, OH. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire)

Per StatsHub, Freiermuth has been the clear No. 2 option for the Steelers passing attack. He’s ranks second on the team in target share (12.9%), first in route participation (79.1%) and second in snap share at (66.1%). He’s exceeded 25 receiving yards in eight of 14 games. Per FTN’s DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, the Ravens have allowed opposing tight ends to produce at a rate 11% above the league average.

Najee Harris 25+ Rushing Yards

Harris has cleared 25 rushing yards in 12 of 14 games, averaging 63 per game. He’s averaging 16 rush attempts per game and 3.9 yards per carry. Harris has cleared 25 rushing yards in seven straight meetings against the Ravens, averaging 65 per game. The Steelers got away from running the ball last week against the Eagles due to an early deficit. I expect their ground game to be an early emphasis against Baltimore as the Steelers get back to their identity.

Best Bet

Lamar Jackson 40+ Rushing Yards
Derrick Henry 60+ Rushing Yards
Mark Andrews 25+ Receiving Yards
Pat Freiermuth 25+ Receiving Yards
Najee Harris 25+ Rushing Yards

SGP Odds: +428, FanDuel Sportsbook