Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
We have two Saturday games in the W! To kick off the day, we have the New York Liberty going to Indianapolis to take on Caitlin Clark and the Fever. At night, it’ll be the Lynx, who will likely be without MVP candidate Napheesa Collier, hosting the Mystics.
Let’s go over our best bet from this two-game slate.
Breanna Stewart Over 20.5 Points
-125, DraftKings Sportsbook
Over the last two seasons, this has been what we call “the nuts” matchup for Breanna Stewart. In seven games against the Fever, while with the Liberty, Stewart has averaged 26.3 points per game. Stewart carries a usage rate of 24.7%, so it’s no surprise to see her production skyrocket in this matchup. The Fever surrender the most opposing points per game in addition to the fourth-highest opponent eFG% and the highest defensive rating. The Fever also give up the second-most free throws per field-goal attempt. While I get the 20.5 line, given Stewart is only averaging 19.7 points per game, in this particular matchup, I would make this line 21.5.
Best Bet
Breanna Stewart over 20.5 points
