Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne from EV Insight

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 73.5 (-110) after it opened @ 71.5 (-110).

Pros

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 43.7% of their plays: the 9th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 136.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Cons

The Jacksonville offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
Travis Etienne’s 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a a significant reduction in his rushing ability over last season’s 5.1 mark.
This year, the porous Indianapolis Colts run defense has yielded a staggering 3.87 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 23rd-biggest rate in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
83
Rushing Yards