Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Travis EtienneRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Jaguars vs. Colts
Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 73.5 (-110) after it opened @ 71.5 (-110).
Pros
- A rushing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 43.7% of their plays: the 9th-highest rate among all teams this week.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 136.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Cons
- The Jacksonville offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
- Travis Etienne’s 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a a significant reduction in his rushing ability over last season’s 5.1 mark.
- This year, the porous Indianapolis Colts run defense has yielded a staggering 3.87 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 23rd-biggest rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
83
Rushing Yards
83
Rushing Yards
