Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
James CookRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Bills vs. Giants
Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 58.5 (-110) after it opened @ 60.5 (-114).
Pros
- An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a heavy 15.5-point favorite in this game.
- After making up 19.1% of his offense’s carries last season, James Cook has been more involved in the run game this season, currently accounting for 52.0%.
- James Cook has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (58.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).
- Opposing offenses have run for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (160 per game) against the New York Giants defense this year.
Cons
- At the moment, the least run-heavy team in the league (31.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buffalo Bills.
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the projections to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The the Buffalo Bills O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football last year in run support.
- James Cook’s 4.8 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a an impressive diminishment in his running skills over last season’s 5.8 mark.
- The Giants defensive tackles rank as the best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Rushing Yards
54
Rushing Yards
