Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja'Marr Chase from EV Insight

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 91.5 yards (-113/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 91.5 (-113) after it opened @ 88.5 (-114).

Pros

The projections expect the Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 128.8 total plays called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
In this contest, Ja’Marr Chase is predicted by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.5 targets.
Ja’Marr Chase has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 95.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Cons

This week’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.62 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
91
Receiving Yards