Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Christian Kirk from EV Insight

Christian KirkReceiving Yards

Right now, Christian Kirk’s receiving yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 136.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
In this contest, Christian Kirk is expected by the projection model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets.
Christian Kirk has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 67.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.7%) versus wide receivers this year (70.7%).

Cons

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Christian Kirk has compiled far fewer air yards this season (62.0 per game) than he did last season (67.0 per game).
When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Receiving Yards