Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Ryan Tannehill

Ryan TannehillPassing Yards

Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 207.5 yards (-101/-135).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 207.5 (-135) after it opened @ 208.5 (-117).

Pros

The model projects the Tennessee Titans offensive gameplan to lean 4.0% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
This game’s line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -5-point underdogs.
The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.

Cons

At the present time, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (57.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans.
The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
Ryan Tannehill has attempted just 28.7 throws per game this year, ranking in the 24th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
227
Passing Yards