Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Josh AllenPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Bills vs. Giants
Right now, Josh Allen’s passing yards prop is set at 263.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 263.5 (-110) after it opened @ 265.5 (-110).
Pros
- The model projects the Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 68.3% pass rate.
- In throwing a monstrous 36.4 pass attempts per game this year, Josh Allen places among the top QBs in the league (76th percentile) in this respect.
- As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
- Josh Allen has been among the top QBs in football this year, averaging an outstanding 284.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
- Josh Allen’s 73.7% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a an impressive gain in his passing precision over last season’s 64.2% mark.
Cons
- An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a heavy 15.5-point favorite in this game.
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the projections to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- Opposing teams have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
258
Passing Yards
258
Passing Yards
