Week 5 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kyren Williams from EV Insight

Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards

Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (+112/-154).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 54.5 (-154) after it opened @ 60.5 (-119).

Pros

Opposing offenses have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year, averaging 26.60 seconds per snap.
In this week’s game, Kyren Williams is expected by the model to slot into the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.2 rush attempts.
After accounting for 14.1% of his offense’s rush attempts last season, Kyren Williams has had a larger role in the running game this season, currently sitting at 62.1%.
Kyren Williams has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
Kyren Williams’s 4.2 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a a noteworthy growth in his running talent over last season’s 3.4 figure.

Cons

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The opposing side have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 63 per game) versus the Eagles defense this year.
Philadelphia defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards