Week 5 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Devon Achane from EV Insight

Devon AchaneRushing Yards

Right now, Devon Achane’s rushing yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-137/+100).

The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (-137) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).

Pros

The Dolphins are a heavy 13-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect Devon Achane to be a more integral piece of his team’s running game in this game (45.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.8% in games he has played).
The Dolphins O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.
With a fantastic tally of 11.85 adjusted yards per carry (100th percentile), Devon Achane ranks among the best RBs in football this year.
This year, the poor New York Giants run defense has yielded a colossal 140.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 8th-most in the league.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
The predictive model expects the Dolphins offense as the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.12 seconds per snap.
The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards