Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Zay FlowersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Steelers vs. Ravens
Right now, Zay Flowers’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
- Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projections to call 67.1 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.
- In this week’s contest, Zay Flowers is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 85th percentile among WRs with 7.7 targets.
- Zay Flowers has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 59.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (194.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
Cons
- This game’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4.5 points.
- The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Pittsburgh’s group of LBs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards
54
Receiving Yards
