Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Pickens from EV Insight

George PickensReceiving Yards

Right now, George Pickens’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 48.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-110).

Pros

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The model projects George Pickens to garner 9.0 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
George Pickens has put up a whopping 80.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Cons

The Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
George Pickens’s 53.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a a remarkable drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year’s 62.5% mark.
George Pickens’s 7.6 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last year’s 9.7 rate.

Projection

THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards