Week 4 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne from EV Insight

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-109/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (-109) after it opened @ 68.5 (-112).

Pros

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
The predictive model expects Travis Etienne to accrue 18.2 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Travis Etienne has been a more important option in his team’s rushing attack this season (65.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (51.6%).
Opposing squads have run for the 8th-most yards in football (132 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

Cons

The Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Travis Etienne’s running efficiency has diminished this season, notching just 3.77 yards-per-carry compared to a 5.09 mark last season.
As it relates to the safeties’ role in run defense, Atlanta’s group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
85
Rushing Yards