Week 4 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mike Evans from EV Insight

Mike EvansReceiving Yards

Right now, Mike Evans’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 62.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Mike Evans to notch 8.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Mike Evans has been among the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 73.0 yards per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Cons

The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and The leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (54.8%) vs. wideouts this year (54.8%).
The Saints pass defense has shown good efficiency versus WRs this year, yielding 6.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
Saints defensive tackles profile as the 6th-best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

Projection

THE BLITZ
72
Receiving Yards