NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Stefon DiggsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Bills vs. Raiders
Right now, Stefon Diggs’s receiving yards prop is set at 77.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 77.5 (-110) after it opened @ 73.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 69.2% pass rate.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to garner 10.0 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
- Stefon Diggs has been a big part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 28.6% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
- Stefon Diggs has been among the leading pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 90.0 yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
Cons
- The Bills are a giant 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Buffalo Bills have run the 7th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
- The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
93
Receiving Yards
93
Receiving Yards
