Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Eagles vs. Vikings
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 248.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 248.5 (-110) after it opened @ 249.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
- The Eagles have been the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 68.8% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
- Jalen Hurts has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.45 yards-per-target while ranking in the 81st percentile.
Cons
- The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
296
Passing Yards
296
Passing Yards
